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Santanyi vs Felanitx

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Carosso C. F.
57' Event
Nebot J.
81' Event
Cifre Navas J.

AI Match Summary

Santanyi in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santanyi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Santanyi
30%
Draws
18%
Felanitx
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santanyi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Felanitx haven't matched Santanyi's recent run of results.
  • Santanyi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Santanyi Clean Sheet 68%
Felanitx Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santanyi Felanitx
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 4
Draws 9 9
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.22 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Santanyi
2:1
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santanyi vs Felanitx
2:1
Feb 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Santanyi
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santanyi vs Felanitx
2:0
Mar 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Santanyi
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santanyi Compare

Top Goalscorer Nebot J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cifre Navas J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.72
Avg xA / game 1.11

Felanitx Compare

Top Goalscorer Carosso C. F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santanyi 95 / 100
Felanitx 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santanyi Felanitx

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santanyi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Felanitx's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Santanyi went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Santanyi's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Santanyi VS Felanitx
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.33
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Santanyi

(Home)
04 Oct
Porreres
0 : 1
Santanyi
26 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1
Mercadal
19 Sept
Alcudia
1 : 2
Santanyi
13 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1
Constancia
06 Sept
Cardassar
0 : 0
Santanyi
Page 1 of 7

Felanitx

(Away)
10 May
Felanitx
2 : 1
Santanyi
03 May
CD Son Cladera
4 : 3
Felanitx
26 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 2
Alcudia
22 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 3
Platges de Calvia
19 Apr
Mallorca B
8 : 1
Felanitx
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)