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Santarem vs GD Coruchense Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023 game between Santarem and GD Coruchense finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Santarem
20%
Draws
29%
GD Coruchense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santarem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • GD Coruchense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Santarem Clean Sheet 68%
GD Coruchense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santarem GD Coruchense
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 13 9
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Santarem vs GD Coruchense
0:0
Oct 23, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
GD Coruchense vs Santarem
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santarem 41 / 100
GD Coruchense 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santarem GD Coruchense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santarem Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santarem's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

GD Coruchense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Santarem stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: GD Coruchense has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Santarem VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santarem

(Home)
20 Sept
Santarem
5 : 0
Merelinense
12 Sept
Louletano
1 : 2
Santarem
04 Sept
Santarem
0 : 1
Caldas SC
22 Aug
CF Os Belenenses
5 : 0
Santarem
14 Aug
Santarem
1 : 1
Oliveirense
Page 1 of 7

GD Coruchense

(Away)
16 Apr
1º Dezembro
2 : 1
GD Coruchense
08 Apr
GD Coruchense
2 : 4
Mortagua FC
02 Apr
Uniao Da Serra
2 : 1
GD Coruchense
19 Mar
GD Coruchense
2 : 2
Sertanense
12 Mar
Alcains
0 : 3
GD Coruchense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1º Dezembro 25 15 5 5 37:19 50
2 Pero Pinheiro 25 15 7 4 34:24 49
3 Santarem 25 13 9 3 40:14 48
4 Marinhense 25 12 6 7 31:24 42
5 SB Castelo Branco 25 10 10 5 33:27 40
6 Mortagua FC 25 9 9 7 41:38 36
7 Sertanense 25 9 9 7 30:25 36
8 Sintrense 25 10 9 7 34:25 36
9 GD Coruchense 25 8 9 9 30:28 30
10 Uniao Da Serra 25 9 3 13 31:40 30
11 GS Loures 25 6 7 12 26:41 25
12 Arronches Benfica 25 5 4 16 15:39 19
13 Alcains 25 4 2 19 23:47 14
14 Rio Maior SC 0 1 0 12 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)