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Santarritense vs Pocos de Caldas

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2022
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AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2022 game between Santarritense and Pocos de Caldas finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santarritense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Santarritense
15%
Draws
49%
Pocos de Caldas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pocos de Caldas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Recent numbers put Santarritense and Pocos de Caldas close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • Model gives Pocos de Caldas a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.6%
Santarritense Clean Sheet 10%
Pocos de Caldas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santarritense Pocos de Caldas
Matches Played 21 31
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 0.9 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 2.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2022 Mineiro 3
Santarritense vs Pocos de Caldas
1:0
Oct 30, 2021 Mineiro 3
Santarritense vs Pocos de Caldas
0:0
Oct 8, 2021 Mineiro 3
Pocos de Caldas vs Santarritense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santarritense 10 / 100
Pocos de Caldas 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santarritense Pocos de Caldas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pocos de Caldas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pocos de Caldas has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Difficult form: Pocos de Caldas registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Santarritense's goal record stands at 38% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

These sides typically produce 0.33 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Santarritense VS Pocos de Caldas
0 Goals Scored 1
3.67 Goals Conceded 1.5
67% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Santarritense

(Home)
27 Sept
Santarritense
0 : 8
Venda Nova FC
21 Sept
Nacional de Muriae
3 : 0
Santarritense
29 Sept
Novo Esporte
4 : 0
Santarritense
25 Sept
Santarritense
2 : 1
Novo Esporte
17 Sept
Itabirito
2 : 0
Santarritense
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Pocos de Caldas

(Away)
19 Oct
Tupynambas
3 : 2
Pocos de Caldas
13 Oct
Pocos de Caldas
3 : 0
Tres Coracoes
08 Oct
Pocos de Caldas
1 : 1
Inter de Minas
02 Oct
Villa Real
2 : 0
Pocos de Caldas
29 Sept
Pocos de Caldas
0 : 2
Guarani-MG
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Esporte Clube 7 5 1 1 12:5 16
2 Valeriodoce 7 5 1 1 11:5 16
3 America TO 7 4 2 1 11:6 14
4 Novo Esporte 7 4 1 2 13:8 13
5 Boston City 7 2 3 2 11:8 9
6 Contagem 7 2 2 3 8:7 8
7 Juventus Minasnovense 7 1 0 6 8:14 3
8 Ideal FC 7 0 0 7 0:21 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itabirito 7 6 0 1 12:1 18
2 Villa Real 7 4 1 2 7:4 13
3 Santarritense 7 3 3 1 8:4 12
4 Tres Coracoes 7 3 1 3 12:13 10
5 Passos 7 2 3 2 5:5 9
6 Figueirense Esporte Clube 7 1 4 2 6:10 7
7 Betis 7 1 3 3 5:8 6
8 Pocos de Caldas 7 0 1 6 2:12 1
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araxa 7 5 2 0 7:2 17
2 Coimbra Esporte Clube 7 4 1 2 13:8 13
3 Nacional Uberaba 7 4 0 3 11:8 12
4 Mamore 7 3 3 1 12:8 12
5 Inter de Minas 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
6 Serranense 7 1 3 3 8:10 6
7 Paracatu 7 1 3 3 7:12 6
8 Sao Gotardo 7 0 2 5 4:13 2
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2022 (Play Offs)