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Santarritense vs Varginha

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2021
Santarritense Logo

Santarritense

0 - 3
FT
Varginha Logo

Varginha

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2021 game between Santarritense and Varginha finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varginha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Santarritense
30%
Draws
42%
Varginha
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Varginha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Santarritense haven't matched Varginha's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Varginha's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Santarritense Clean Sheet 20%
Varginha Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santarritense Varginha
Matches Played 20 35
Wins 8 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 0.95 1.11
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2021 Mineiro 3
Varginha vs Santarritense
0:2
Sep 11, 2021 Mineiro 3
Santarritense vs Varginha
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santarritense 20 / 100
Varginha 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santarritense Varginha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varginha Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varginha's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 35 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Santarritense's goal record stands at 40% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Recent resilience: Santarritense stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santarritense VS Varginha
0 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santarritense

(Home)
21 Sept
Nacional de Muriae
3 : 0
Santarritense
29 Sept
Novo Esporte
4 : 0
Santarritense
25 Sept
Santarritense
2 : 1
Novo Esporte
17 Sept
Itabirito
2 : 0
Santarritense
10 Sept
Santarritense
2 : 0
Villa Real
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Varginha

(Away)
21 Jun
URT
1 : 2
Varginha
15 Jun
Varginha
2 : 2
Uberaba
08 Jun
Varginha
1 : 1
Caldense
02 Jun
Mamore
1 : 1
Varginha
28 May
Patrocinense
0 : 2
Varginha
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santarritense 8 4 3 1 9:4 15
2 Varginha 8 4 2 2 18:13 14
3 Pocos de Caldas 8 3 5 0 14:5 14
4 Tres Coracoes 8 3 1 4 9:15 10
5 Figueirense Esporte Clube 8 0 1 7 6:19 1
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uberaba 8 5 1 2 25:7 16
2 Araxa 8 4 2 2 17:7 14
3 Patrocinense 8 3 2 3 10:11 11
4 Inter de Minas 8 2 5 1 7:6 11
5 Araguari 8 0 2 6 2:30 2
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America TO 8 4 3 1 10:5 15
2 Manchester Futebol 8 4 2 2 10:5 14
3 Contagem 8 4 1 3 8:5 13
4 Boston City 8 4 1 3 11:7 13
5 Betis 8 0 1 7 3:20 1
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)