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Santarritense vs Varginha

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2021 game between Santarritense and Varginha finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varginha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Santarritense
30%
Draws
34%
Varginha
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santarritense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Santarritense have managed 0 goals a game lately — Varginha are scoring more at 0.5.
  • Win probability leans Santarritense's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Santarritense Clean Sheet 20%
Varginha Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santarritense Varginha
Matches Played 19 32
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 0 0.5
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2021 Mineiro 3
Varginha vs Santarritense
0:2
Sep 11, 2021 Mineiro 3
Santarritense vs Varginha
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santarritense 36 / 100
Varginha 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santarritense Varginha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varginha's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Santarritense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Santarritense's goal record stands at 42% scoring rate across 19 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Varginha
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santarritense

(Home)
29 Sept
Novo Esporte
4 : 0
Santarritense
25 Sept
Santarritense
2 : 1
Novo Esporte
17 Sept
Itabirito
2 : 0
Santarritense
10 Sept
Santarritense
2 : 0
Villa Real
03 Sept
Santarritense
5 : 2
Tres Coracoes
Page 1 of 4

Varginha

(Away)
21 Jun
URT
1 : 2
Varginha
15 Jun
Varginha
2 : 2
Uberaba
08 Jun
Varginha
1 : 1
Caldense
02 Jun
Mamore
1 : 1
Varginha
28 May
Patrocinense
0 : 2
Varginha
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Santarritense84319:415
2Varginha842218:1314
3Pocos de Caldas835014:514
4Tres Coracoes83149:1510
5Figueirense Esporte Clube80176:191
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uberaba851225:716
2Araxa842217:714
3Patrocinense832310:1111
4Inter de Minas82517:611
5Araguari80262:302
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America TO843110:515
2Manchester Futebol842210:514
3Contagem84138:513
4Boston City841311:713
5Betis80173:201
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)