Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Santarritense in this Mineiro 3 2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santarritense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Villa Real
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Villa Real lately — more wins on the board than Santarritense.
- Santarritense are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Santarritense Clean Sheet 20%
Villa Real Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Santarritense | Villa Real |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 20 | 26 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.95 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.85 | 1.12 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 10, 2022 Mineiro 3
Santarritense vs Villa Real
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Santarritense 49 / 100
Villa Real 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Santarritense Villa Real
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Santarritense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Santarritense scored in 40% of their last 20 games.
Defensive concern: Villa Real conceded in 50% of 26 recent games.
Santarritense has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Santarritense VS Villa Real
0 Goals Scored 0.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 13%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Santarritense
(Home) 21 Sept
Nacional de Muriae
3 : 0 Santarritense
29 Sept
Novo Esporte
4 : 0 Santarritense
25 Sept
Santarritense
2 : 1 Novo Esporte
17 Sept
Itabirito
2 : 0 Santarritense
10 Sept
Santarritense
2 : 0 Villa Real
Page 1 of 4
25 Sept
Santarritense
2 : 1 Novo Esporte
10 Sept
Santarritense
2 : 0 Villa Real
03 Sept
Santarritense
5 : 2 Tres Coracoes
20 Aug
Santarritense
0 : 0 Passos
06 Aug
Santarritense
1 : 0 Pocos de Caldas
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Villa Real
(Away) 19 Oct
Villa Real
1 : 1 Inter de Minas
14 Oct
Guarani-MG
4 : 0 Villa Real
07 Oct
Tres Coracoes
0 : 3 Villa Real
02 Oct
Villa Real
2 : 0 Pocos de Caldas
29 Sept
Tupynambas
6 : 0 Villa Real
Page 1 of 6
14 Oct
Guarani-MG
4 : 0 Villa Real
07 Oct
Tres Coracoes
0 : 3 Villa Real
29 Sept
Tupynambas
6 : 0 Villa Real
18 Sept
Pocos de Caldas
0 : 4 Villa Real
31 Aug
Inter de Minas
3 : 2 Villa Real
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North Esporte Clube | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:5 | 16 |
| 2 | Valeriodoce | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 16 |
| 3 | America TO | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 14 |
| 4 | Novo Esporte | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 13 |
| 5 | Boston City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | 9 |
| 6 | Contagem | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | 8 |
| 7 | Juventus Minasnovense | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8:14 | 3 |
| 8 | Ideal FC | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0:21 | 0 |
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2022 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Itabirito | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 12:1 | 18 |
| 2 | Villa Real | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Santarritense | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:4 | 12 |
| 4 | Tres Coracoes | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 5 | Passos | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:5 | 9 |
| 6 | Figueirense Esporte Clube | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:10 | 7 |
| 7 | Betis | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:8 | 6 |
| 8 | Pocos de Caldas | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2:12 | 1 |
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2022 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Araxa | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 17 |
| 2 | Coimbra Esporte Clube | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 13 |
| 3 | Nacional Uberaba | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 4 | Mamore | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:8 | 12 |
| 5 | Inter de Minas | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | 8 |
| 6 | Serranense | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 7 | Paracatu | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:12 | 6 |
| 8 | Sao Gotardo | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4:13 | 2 |
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2022 (Play Offs)
