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Santboia vs UE Castelldefels

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Club Friendly 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santboia play UE Castelldefels in the Club Friendly 2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Santboia averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. UE Castelldefels averaged 1 goals scored and 1.44 conceded. In past meetings, Santboia won 2, UE Castelldefels won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 25, 2021 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Santboia and 1.24 for UE Castelldefels. This points to a UE Castelldefels double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Santboia
20%
Draws
43%
UE Castelldefels
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UE Castelldefels

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Santboia picked up more points recently compared to UE Castelldefels.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.24 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%
Santboia Clean Sheet 19%
UE Castelldefels Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santboia UE Castelldefels
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 0.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.44

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2021 Club Friendly
Santboia vs UE Castelldefels
0:1
Mar 10, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs Santboia
2:0
Oct 14, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Santboia vs UE Castelldefels
2:0
Apr 8, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs Santboia
1:1
Nov 5, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Santboia vs UE Castelldefels
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santboia Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

UE Castelldefels Compare

Top Goalscorer Serrano A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santboia 37 / 100
UE Castelldefels 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santboia UE Castelldefels

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: UE Castelldefels or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Santboia attacking → ← attacking UE Castelldefels

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santboia scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

UE Castelldefels let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Santboia went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

UE Castelldefels lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 31
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75