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Santegidiese vs Vigor Senigallia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Grandis T.
34' Event
De Feo G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F game between Santegidiese and Vigor Senigallia finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vigor Senigallia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Santegidiese
20%
Draws
51%
Vigor Senigallia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vigor Senigallia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Vigor Senigallia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Santegidiese Clean Sheet 11%
Vigor Senigallia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santegidiese Vigor Senigallia
Matches Played 9 29
Wins 2 13
Draws 2 9
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 0.78 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Santegidiese vs Vigor Senigallia
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santegidiese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Vigor Senigallia Compare

Top Goalscorer Grandis T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader De Feo G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santegidiese 30 / 100
Vigor Senigallia 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santegidiese Vigor Senigallia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vigor Senigallia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Santegidiese scored in 67% of their last 9 outings.

Vigor Senigallia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Santegidiese has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santegidiese VS Vigor Senigallia
0.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Santegidiese

(Home)
18 Oct
Santegidiese
0 : 2
Vigor Senigallia
11 Oct
Aquila Calcio
2 : 1
Santegidiese
04 Oct
Santegidiese
1 : 3
Giulianova
27 Sept
Maceratese
1 : 1
Santegidiese
20 Sept
Santegidiese
1 : 0
Angelana
Page 1 of 2

Vigor Senigallia

(Away)
18 Oct
Santegidiese
0 : 2
Vigor Senigallia
11 Oct
Vigor Senigallia
1 : 2
Atletico Ascoli
04 Oct
Teramo
6 : 4
Vigor Senigallia
27 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
0 : 0
Fossombrone
20 Sept
Termoli
1 : 2
Vigor Senigallia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aquila Calcio 8 6 2 0 17:5 20
2 Teramo 8 6 1 1 20:11 19
3 Vigor Senigallia 8 5 1 2 17:12 16
4 Foligno 8 5 1 2 9:7 16
5 Notaresco Calcio 8 4 2 2 13:9 14
6 Ancona 8 4 2 2 12:8 14
7 Atletico Ascoli 8 4 1 3 13:10 13
8 Fossombrone 8 4 1 3 10:13 13
9 Montecchio Gallo 8 3 2 3 9:9 11
10 Giulianova 8 3 1 4 11:11 10
11 Lanciano FC 8 3 1 4 14:15 10
12 Termoli 8 3 1 4 6:7 10
13 Santegidiese 8 2 2 4 7:11 8
14 Pietralunga 8 2 2 4 5:9 8
15 Maceratese 8 2 1 5 9:16 7
16 Recanatese 8 1 3 4 11:14 6
17 Angelana 8 1 1 6 5:12 4
18 Sporting Trestina 8 1 1 6 4:13 4
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)