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Santo Andre vs Gremio Prudente

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A2
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Matheus Sacramento

AI Match Summary

Santo Andre in this Paulista A2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santo Andre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Santo Andre
40%
Draws
29%
Gremio Prudente
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Santo Andre average 0.88 goals a game right now, well clear of Gremio Prudente's 0.75.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Paulista A2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Santo Andre Clean Sheet 20%
Gremio Prudente Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santo Andre Gremio Prudente
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 9 15
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 0.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Paulista A2
Santo Andre vs Gremio Prudente
1:0
Mar 1, 2025 Paulista A2
Gremio Prudente vs Santo Andre
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santo Andre Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Sacramento
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Gremio Prudente Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santo Andre 32 / 100
Gremio Prudente 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santo Andre Gremio Prudente

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gremio Prudente's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Santo Andre's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Gremio Prudente's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Santo Andre VS Gremio Prudente
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Agua Santa15101424:1431
2Ferroviaria1584322:1228
3Ituano1584322:1428
4Sao Jose EC1583421:1327
5Sertaozinho1574419:1925
6Votuporanguense1573516:1724
7Juventus-SP1565422:2023
8Piracicaba1564516:1522
9Osasco Sporting1557322:1822
10Santo Andre1553716:2218
11Taubate1538422:2317
12Internacional de Limeira1544715:1816
13Linense1527612:1813
14Monte Azul1526717:2212
15Gremio Prudente1519512:1612
16Sao Bento1512128:255