Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santo Andre vs Sao Caetano

Brazil Brazil

Copa Paulista
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Vitor Leao

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Santo Andre
20%
Draws
7%
Sao Caetano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santo Andre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Santo Andre haven't matched Sao Caetano's recent run of results.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Santo Andre taking it.
  • Sao Caetano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sao Caetano, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Santo Andre Clean Sheet 68%
Sao Caetano Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santo Andre Sao Caetano
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 9 14
Draws 8 9
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 0.8 1.05
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 0.96 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 Copa Paulista
Sao Caetano vs Santo Andre
0:1
Jul 26, 2026 Copa Paulista
Santo Andre vs Sao Caetano
0:0
Aug 9, 2025 Copa Paulista
Sao Caetano vs Santo Andre
2:0
Jul 5, 2025 Copa Paulista
Santo Andre vs Sao Caetano
0:2
Aug 25, 2023 Copa Paulista
Sao Caetano vs Santo Andre
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santo Andre 95 / 100
Sao Caetano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santo Andre Sao Caetano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santo Andre Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Santo Andre scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Santo Andre stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Sao Caetano lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santo Andre VS Sao Caetano
0.67 Goals Scored 1.38
0.83 Goals Conceded 1.25
33% Over 1.5 75%
17% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Santo Andre

(Home)
22 Aug
Santo Andre
1 : 0
EC Sao Bernardo
17 Aug
Sao Caetano
0 : 1
Santo Andre
08 Aug
Sao Jose EC
2 : 0
Santo Andre
02 Aug
Santo Andre
1 : 0
Sao Jose EC
26 Jul
Santo Andre
0 : 0
Sao Caetano
Page 1 of 6

Sao Caetano

(Away)
05 Sept
Primavera EC
7 : 0
Sao Caetano
29 Aug
Sao Caetano
0 : 5
Primavera EC
22 Aug
Sao Jose EC
0 : 0
Sao Caetano
17 Aug
Sao Caetano
0 : 1
Santo Andre
09 Aug
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 0
Sao Caetano
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linense 6 4 2 0 11:3 14
2 Bandeirante 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
3 Gremio Prudente 6 2 1 3 4:7 7
4 Marilia 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Noroeste 6 2 3 1 10:10 9
2 Uniao Sao Joao 6 1 5 0 6:5 8
3 Comercial 6 2 1 3 8:7 7
4 Piracicaba 6 1 3 2 4:6 6
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus-SP 6 3 1 2 11:5 10
2 Primavera EC 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
3 Paulista 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
4 Osasco Sporting 6 1 1 4 4:11 4
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Jose EC 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
2 EC Sao Bernardo 6 3 0 3 12:8 9
3 Sao Caetano 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
4 Santo Andre 6 3 1 2 4:5 0
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)