Sport Picks
Match Events
51'
51'
Nicollas Nascimento
71'
71'
Ferreira de Lima M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Copa Paulista 2025 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
35%
31%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Santo Andre have won more games recently than Taubate.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Santo Andre have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Taubate, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Santo Andre Clean Sheet 12%
Taubate Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Santo Andre | Taubate |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 13 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 18, 2026 Paulista A2
Taubate vs Santo Andre
1:1
Jul 26, 2025 Copa Paulista
Santo Andre vs Taubate
1:1
Jun 20, 2025 Copa Paulista
Taubate vs Santo Andre
0:0
Jan 22, 2025 Paulista A2
Santo Andre vs Taubate
0:1
Jan 27, 2019 Paulista A2
Santo Andre vs Taubate
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Santo Andre Compare
Top Goalscorer Nicollas Nascimento
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
Taubate Compare
Top Goalscorer Ferreira de Lima M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Santo Andre 35 / 100
Taubate 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Santo Andre Taubate
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Taubate Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Santo Andre's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Taubate let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Santo Andre went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Santo Andre VS Taubate
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.57
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 43%
Recent Form & Match History
Santo Andre
(Home) 22 Aug
Santo Andre
1 : 0 EC Sao Bernardo
17 Aug
Sao Caetano
0 : 1 Santo Andre
08 Aug
Sao Jose EC
2 : 0 Santo Andre
02 Aug
Santo Andre
1 : 0 Sao Jose EC
26 Jul
Santo Andre
0 : 0 Sao Caetano
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22 Aug
Santo Andre
1 : 0 EC Sao Bernardo
02 Aug
Santo Andre
1 : 0 Sao Jose EC
26 Jul
Santo Andre
0 : 0 Sao Caetano
07 Mar
Santo Andre
4 : 2 Sao Bento
25 Feb
Santo Andre
1 : 2 Sertaozinho
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Taubate
(Away) 07 Mar
Taubate
1 : 1 Gremio Prudente
28 Feb
Sao Bento
2 : 3 Taubate
25 Feb
Taubate
1 : 1 Piracicaba
21 Feb
Agua Santa
2 : 3 Taubate
18 Feb
Taubate
1 : 1 Santo Andre
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28 Feb
Sao Bento
2 : 3 Taubate
21 Feb
Agua Santa
2 : 3 Taubate
11 Feb
Votuporanguense
1 : 2 Taubate
28 Jan
Linense
1 : 1 Taubate
21 Jan
Juventus-SP
3 : 2 Taubate
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gremio Prudente | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12:6 | 16 |
| 2 | Monte Azul | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 14 |
| 3 | Noroeste | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 11 |
| 4 | AEA Aracatuba | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:9 | 8 |
| 5 | Linense | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:11 | 5 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uniao Sao Joao | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15:10 | 19 |
| 2 | Comercial | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 3 | Internacional de Limeira | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 4 | Francana | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 8:8 | 14 |
| 5 | Botafogo SP B | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:12 | 9 |
| 6 | Itapirense | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11:20 | 7 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Piracicaba | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 24 |
| 2 | Primavera EC | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 3 | Paulista | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 4 | Sao Bento | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 5 | Guarani B | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:16 | 8 |
| 6 | Rio Branco SP | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 6:13 | 5 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Jose EC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:7 | 20 |
| 2 | Portuguesa Santista | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 11:8 | 15 |
| 3 | Osasco Sporting | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | 14 |
| 4 | Sao Caetano | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8:11 | 13 |
| 5 | Taubate | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 6 | Santo Andre | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4:13 | 8 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)
