Sport Picks
Match Events
51'
51'
Nicollas Nascimento
71'
71'
Ferreira de Lima M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Copa Paulista 2025 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santo Andre
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Taubate average 1.75 goals a game right now, well clear of Santo Andre's 1.13.
- Win probability leans Santo Andre's way, sitting at 36%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Taubate, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Santo Andre Clean Sheet 14%
Taubate Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Santo Andre | Taubate |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 13 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 18, 2026 Paulista A2
Taubate vs Santo Andre
1:1
Jul 26, 2025 Copa Paulista
Santo Andre vs Taubate
1:1
Jun 20, 2025 Copa Paulista
Taubate vs Santo Andre
0:0
Jan 22, 2025 Paulista A2
Santo Andre vs Taubate
0:1
Jan 27, 2019 Paulista A2
Santo Andre vs Taubate
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Santo Andre Compare
Top Goalscorer Nicollas Nascimento
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Taubate Compare
Top Goalscorer Ferreira de Lima M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Santo Andre 35 / 100
Taubate 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Santo Andre Taubate
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Taubate's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
Santo Andre went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Santo Andre scored in 55% of their last 29 games.
Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Santo Andre VS Taubate
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Santo Andre
(Home) 02 Aug
Santo Andre
1 : 0 Sao Jose EC
26 Jul
Santo Andre
0 : 0 Sao Caetano
19 Jul
EC Sao Bernardo
3 : 1 Santo Andre
07 Mar
Santo Andre
4 : 2 Sao Bento
01 Mar
Linense
1 : 1 Santo Andre
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02 Aug
Santo Andre
1 : 0 Sao Jose EC
26 Jul
Santo Andre
0 : 0 Sao Caetano
07 Mar
Santo Andre
4 : 2 Sao Bento
25 Feb
Santo Andre
1 : 2 Sertaozinho
22 Feb
Santo Andre
0 : 3 Sao Jose EC
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Taubate
(Away) 07 Mar
Taubate
1 : 1 Gremio Prudente
28 Feb
Sao Bento
2 : 3 Taubate
25 Feb
Taubate
1 : 1 Piracicaba
21 Feb
Agua Santa
2 : 3 Taubate
18 Feb
Taubate
1 : 1 Santo Andre
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28 Feb
Sao Bento
2 : 3 Taubate
21 Feb
Agua Santa
2 : 3 Taubate
11 Feb
Votuporanguense
1 : 2 Taubate
28 Jan
Linense
1 : 1 Taubate
21 Jan
Juventus-SP
3 : 2 Taubate
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gremio Prudente | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12:6 | 16 |
| 2 | Monte Azul | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 14 |
| 3 | Noroeste | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 11 |
| 4 | AEA Aracatuba | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:9 | 8 |
| 5 | Linense | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:11 | 5 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uniao Sao Joao | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15:10 | 19 |
| 2 | Comercial | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 3 | Internacional de Limeira | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 4 | Francana | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 8:8 | 14 |
| 5 | Botafogo SP B | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:12 | 9 |
| 6 | Itapirense | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11:20 | 7 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Piracicaba | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 24 |
| 2 | Primavera EC | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 3 | Paulista | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 4 | Sao Bento | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 5 | Guarani B | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:16 | 8 |
| 6 | Rio Branco SP | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 6:13 | 5 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Jose EC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:7 | 20 |
| 2 | Portuguesa Santista | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 11:8 | 15 |
| 3 | Osasco Sporting | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | 14 |
| 4 | Sao Caetano | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8:11 | 13 |
| 5 | Taubate | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 6 | Santo Andre | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4:13 | 8 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)
