Sport Picks

Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2019

Ultramarina

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Santo Crucifixo play Ultramarina in the Campeonato Nacional 2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Santo Crucifixo averaged 0.89 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Ultramarina averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. In past meetings, Santo Crucifixo won 1, Ultramarina won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 4, 2019 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Santo Crucifixo and 1.13 for Ultramarina. This points to a Santo Crucifixo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%

Santo Crucifixo

23%

Draws

36%

Ultramarina

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Santo Crucifixo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Santo Crucifixo picked up more points recently compared to Ultramarina.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 74%

Over 2.5 Goals 52%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%

Santo Crucifixo Clean Sheet 21%

Ultramarina Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 67%

Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Santo Crucifixo	Ultramarina
Matches Played	18	30
Wins	5	8
Draws	5	6
Losses	8	16
Goals Scored	0.89	1.17
Goals Conceded	1.17	1.77
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2019 Campeonato Nacional

Ultramarina vs Santo Crucifixo

Possession: 41% - 57% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Apr 6, 2019 Campeonato Nacional

Santo Crucifixo vs Ultramarina

Possession: 48% - 44% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santo Crucifixo 41 / 100

Ultramarina 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Santo Crucifixo Ultramarina

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Santo Crucifixo or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +24.2%

3.03

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.8%

2.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Santo Crucifixo attacking → ← attacking Ultramarina

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santo Crucifixo scored in 56% of their last 18 games.

Ultramarina let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Santo Crucifixo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ultramarina lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 30

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mindelense	6	3	2	1	8:4	11
2	Academica Praia	6	2	2	2	4:4	8
3	Academica Porto Novo	6	1	4	1	7:9	7
4	Academica do Fogo	6	0	4	2	3:5	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ultramarina	6	3	2	1	13:9	11
2	Santo Crucifixo	6	2	2	2	7:5	8
3	Sporting da Brava	6	2	2	2	9:12	8
4	Academico 83	6	1	2	3	8:11	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Oasis	6	3	2	1	7:8	11
2	Onze Estrelas	6	3	1	2	5:4	10
3	Celtic	6	2	3	1	6:1	9
4	GD Varandinha	6	0	2	4	4:9	2