Sport Picks
Match Events
12'
12'
Hernandez J.
22'
22'
Araujo J.
51'
51'
Agullo F.
AI Match Summary
Molinense in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Molinense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
30%
27%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santomera
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Molinense have won more games recently than Santomera.
- Santomera are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Santomera Clean Sheet 68%
Molinense Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Santomera | Molinense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs Molinense
1:2
Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs Santomera
0:1
May 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs Santomera
1:2
May 17, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs Molinense
0:0
Feb 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs Molinense
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Santomera Compare
Top Goalscorer Araujo J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Molinense Compare
Top Goalscorer Hernandez J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Agullo F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Santomera 59 / 100
Molinense 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Santomera Molinense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Santomera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Santomera remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Santomera scored in 71% of their last 28 games.
Molinense has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Scoring Trends
Santomera VS Molinense
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Santomera
(Home) 04 Oct
CA Pulpileno
2 : 3 Santomera
27 Sept
Bullas Deportivo
1 : 2 Santomera
20 Sept
Santomera
2 : 0 CD Algar
13 Sept
UD Los Garres
2 : 2 Santomera
05 Sept
Santomera
2 : 1 UCAM Murcia B
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Santomera
2 : 0 CD Algar
05 Sept
Santomera
2 : 1 UCAM Murcia B
28 Aug
Santomera
3 : 1 Torrellano
22 Aug
Santomera
1 : 2 Ciudad Cieza
19 Aug
Santomera
1 : 4 Crevillente
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Molinense
(Away) 04 Oct
Aguilas FC B
1 : 1 Molinense
27 Sept
Molinense
3 : 2 Mazarron FC
20 Sept
Club Olimpico de Totana
1 : 0 Molinense
13 Sept
Molinense
2 : 2 San Javier
06 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 4 Molinense
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04 Oct
Aguilas FC B
1 : 1 Molinense
20 Sept
Club Olimpico de Totana
1 : 0 Molinense
06 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 4 Molinense
17 May
Club Olimpico de Totana
0 : 0 Molinense
10 May
Real Murcia B
0 : 2 Molinense
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ciudad Cieza | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 65:21 | 73 |
| 2 | Real Murcia B | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:44 | 59 |
| 3 | Molinense | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 46:34 | 59 |
| 4 | Club Olimpico de Totana | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 44:27 | 58 |
| 5 | Mazarron FC | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 50:33 | 56 |
| 6 | UCAM Murcia B | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 55:37 | 55 |
| 7 | Aguilas FC B | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 47:42 | 52 |
| 8 | CA Pulpileno | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 30:29 | 50 |
| 9 | Santa Cruz | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 35:37 | 48 |
| 10 | Minerva | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28:39 | 44 |
| 11 | Bala Azul | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 39:36 | 40 |
| 12 | FC Cartagena SAD B | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:39 | 38 |
| 13 | Deportivo Maritimo | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38:46 | 36 |
| 14 | E.G. El Palmar | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 27:48 | 32 |
| 15 | Santomera | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 38:64 | 32 |
| 16 | Caravaca | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 33:44 | 31 |
| 17 | Muleno CF | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 33:58 | 31 |
| 18 | Yeclano B | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 25:54 | 27 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
