Sport Picks
Match Events
12'
12'
Hernandez J.
22'
22'
Araujo J.
51'
51'
Agullo F.
AI Match Summary
Molinense in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Molinense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santomera
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Molinense have won more games recently than Santomera.
- Santomera are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Santomera Clean Sheet 11%
Molinense Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Santomera | Molinense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 8 | 16 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 16 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.25 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs Molinense
1:2
Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs Santomera
0:1
May 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs Santomera
1:2
May 17, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs Molinense
0:0
Feb 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs Molinense
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Santomera Compare
Top Goalscorer Araujo J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Molinense Compare
Top Goalscorer Hernandez J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Agullo F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Santomera 35 / 100
Molinense 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Santomera Molinense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Santomera found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).
Molinense let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Santomera went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Santomera VS Molinense
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Santomera
(Home) 10 May
Club Olimpico de Totana
3 : 1 Santomera
02 May
Santomera
2 : 1 FC Cartagena SAD B
25 Apr
Real Murcia B
2 : 3 Santomera
19 Apr
Santomera
3 : 1 Yeclano B
12 Apr
Minerva
1 : 0 Santomera
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02 May
Santomera
2 : 1 FC Cartagena SAD B
19 Apr
Santomera
3 : 1 Yeclano B
04 Apr
Santomera
0 : 2 CA Pulpileno
22 Mar
Santomera
2 : 4 UCAM Murcia B
08 Mar
Santomera
0 : 1 E.G. El Palmar
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Molinense
(Away) 24 May
Molinense
0 : 2 Club Olimpico de Totana
17 May
Club Olimpico de Totana
0 : 0 Molinense
10 May
Real Murcia B
0 : 2 Molinense
03 May
Molinense
2 : 0 Yeclano B
26 Apr
Minerva
2 : 0 Molinense
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17 May
Club Olimpico de Totana
0 : 0 Molinense
10 May
Real Murcia B
0 : 2 Molinense
26 Apr
Minerva
2 : 0 Molinense
11 Apr
Aguilas FC B
2 : 1 Molinense
29 Mar
Mazarron CF
1 : 0 Molinense
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ciudad Cieza | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 65:21 | 73 |
| 2 | Real Murcia B | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:44 | 59 |
| 3 | Molinense | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 46:34 | 59 |
| 4 | Club Olimpico de Totana | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 44:27 | 58 |
| 5 | Mazarron CF | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 50:33 | 56 |
| 6 | UCAM Murcia B | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 55:37 | 55 |
| 7 | Aguilas FC B | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 47:42 | 52 |
| 8 | CA Pulpileno | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 30:29 | 50 |
| 9 | Santa Cruz | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 35:37 | 48 |
| 10 | Minerva | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28:39 | 44 |
| 11 | Bala Azul | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 39:36 | 40 |
| 12 | FC Cartagena SAD B | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:39 | 38 |
| 13 | Deportivo Maritimo | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38:46 | 36 |
| 14 | E.G. El Palmar | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 27:48 | 32 |
| 15 | Santomera | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 38:64 | 32 |
| 16 | Caravaca | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 33:44 | 31 |
| 17 | Muleno CF | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 33:58 | 31 |
| 18 | Yeclano B | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 25:54 | 27 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 (Play Offs)
