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Santomera vs Moratalla

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santomera in this Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santomera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Santomera
15%
Draws
26%
Moratalla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santomera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Moratalla haven't matched Santomera's recent run of results.
  • Santomera are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Santomera Clean Sheet 14%
Moratalla Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santomera Moratalla
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 1.32 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.89 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs Moratalla
2:1
Oct 10, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Moratalla vs Santomera
2:0
Feb 8, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Moratalla vs Santomera
1:2
Sep 21, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs Moratalla
0:1
Mar 2, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Moratalla vs Santomera
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santomera 84 / 100
Moratalla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santomera Moratalla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santomera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moratalla has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Santomera found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (38 games).

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Santomera stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santomera VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santomera

(Home)
13 Sept
UD Los Garres
2 : 2
Santomera
05 Sept
Santomera
2 : 1
UCAM Murcia B
28 Aug
Santomera
3 : 1
Torrellano
22 Aug
Santomera
1 : 2
Ciudad Cieza
19 Aug
Santomera
1 : 4
Crevillente
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Moratalla

(Away)
15 May
FC Puente Tocinos
3 : 4
Moratalla
08 May
Moratalla
0 : 3
UCAM Murcia
01 May
Real Murcia B
4 : 1
Moratalla
20 Apr
Moratalla
2 : 3
Beniel
16 Apr
Molina
8 : 0
Moratalla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UCAM Murcia 38 27 5 6 81:22 86
2 Real Murcia B 38 25 9 4 69:18 84
3 Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC 38 25 8 5 85:28 83
4 Cartagena La Union 38 25 6 7 72:36 81
5 Ciudad Cieza 38 25 5 8 74:28 80
6 Bala Azul 38 18 12 8 59:45 66
7 Lorca FC 38 17 9 12 58:51 60
8 CA Pulpileno 38 16 9 13 53:42 57
9 Molina 38 15 8 15 60:45 53
10 Pinatar 38 13 13 12 50:51 52
11 Club Edeco Fortuna 38 15 7 16 39:57 52
12 Plus Ultra 38 14 6 18 44:57 48
13 Santomera 38 12 9 17 43:57 45
14 Cartagena FC UCAM 38 11 10 17 43:61 43
15 Moratalla 38 11 8 19 44:69 41
16 Calasparra FC 38 11 8 19 45:64 41
17 Base Abaran 38 9 9 20 28:47 36
18 FC Puente Tocinos 38 9 6 23 42:85 33
19 Beniel 38 4 3 31 32:93 15
20 Lorca Deportiva 38 2 2 34 7:72 8
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)