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Santomera vs San Javier - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santomera host San Javier in the Tercera RFEF - Group 13. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. San Javier have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Santomera have conceded 1.93 and scored 1.5. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.10 - 1.44) back San Javier to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Santomera
30%
Draws
32%
San Javier
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santomera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Santomera carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Santomera's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Santomera Clean Sheet 16%
San Javier Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santomera San Javier
Matches Played 28 5
Wins 11 3
Draws 4 2
Losses 13 0
Goals Scored 1.5 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.93 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santomera 66 / 100
San Javier 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santomera San Javier

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santomera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santomera has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Santomera found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

San Javier let in goals in 60% of their last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Santomera VS San Javier
1.5 Goals Scored 1.14
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.71
88% Over 1.5 43%
88% Over 2.5 29%
50% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Santomera

(Home)
10 Oct
Santomera
3 : 0
Deportivo Maritimo
04 Oct
CA Pulpileno
2 : 3
Santomera
27 Sept
Bullas Deportivo
1 : 2
Santomera
20 Sept
Santomera
2 : 0
CD Algar
13 Sept
UD Los Garres
2 : 2
Santomera
Page 1 of 6

San Javier

(Away)
04 Oct
San Javier
1 : 0
UD Los Garres
27 Sept
UCAM Murcia B
1 : 1
San Javier
20 Sept
San Javier
1 : 0
Minerva
13 Sept
Molinense
2 : 2
San Javier
06 Sept
San Javier
3 : 2
Santa Cruz

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santomera 6 5 1 0 14:6 16
2 San Javier 6 4 2 0 11:5 14
3 Molinense 6 3 2 1 13:8 11
4 Santa Cruz 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
5 Alcantarilla 6 2 3 1 5:5 9
6 UCAM Murcia B 6 2 2 2 13:7 8
7 Aguilas FC B 6 1 5 0 7:5 8
8 CA Pulpileno 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
9 Bala Azul 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
10 Club Olimpico de Totana 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
11 UD Los Garres 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 6 2 2 2 9:10 8
13 Minerva 6 2 2 2 3:4 8
14 Cotillas CD 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
15 Bullas Deportivo 5 1 2 2 7:6 5
16 Deportivo Maritimo 5 1 0 4 2:10 3
17 CD Algar 6 1 0 5 3:13 3
18 Mazarron FC 6 0 1 5 6:14 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)