Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014

CD Siete Villas

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Santona play CD Siete Villas in the Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014. It looks like a close match. Recently, Santona averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. CD Siete Villas averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. In past meetings, Santona won 0, CD Siete Villas won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 25, 2015 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.79 for Santona and 1.05 for CD Siete Villas. This points to a CD Siete Villas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Santona

22%

Draws

42%

CD Siete Villas

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: CD Siete Villas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Santona picked up more points recently compared to CD Siete Villas.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.79 vs 1.05 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 68%

Over 2.5 Goals 42%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

Santona Clean Sheet 22%

CD Siete Villas Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 61%

Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Santona	CD Siete Villas
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	7	7
Draws	7	7
Losses	16	17
Goals Scored	0.97	0.97
Goals Conceded	1.33	1.48

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Santona vs CD Siete Villas

Possession: 53% - 52% Cards: 1 - 0

1:2

Sep 7, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

CD Siete Villas vs Santona

Possession: 51% - 41% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Apr 26, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Santona vs CD Siete Villas

Possession: 48% - 50% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Dec 22, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

CD Siete Villas vs Santona

Possession: 45% - 58% Cards: 1 - 0

1:1

Mar 24, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

CD Siete Villas vs Santona

Possession: 53% - 45% Cards: 0 - 1

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santona 37 / 100

CD Siete Villas 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Santona CD Siete Villas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: CD Siete Villas or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.8%

2.78

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Santona attacking → ← attacking CD Siete Villas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santona scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

CD Siete Villas let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Santona went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

CD Siete Villas lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 28

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gimnastic de Torrelavega	38	27	8	3	82:18	89
2	CD Laredo	38	23	8	7	71:31	77
3	Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)	38	21	9	8	60:37	72
4	UM Escobedo	38	19	14	5	50:30	71
5	CD Siete Villas	38	16	13	9	60:44	61
6	Cayon CD	38	18	7	13	46:36	61
7	Gama	38	16	10	12	44:34	58
8	Rayo Cantabria	38	14	12	12	52:39	54
9	Atletico Albericia	38	15	9	14	38:44	54
10	Buelna	38	14	11	13	46:46	53
11	Vimenor	38	11	18	9	49:48	51
12	Bezana	38	13	11	14	49:54	50
13	CD Colindres	38	12	10	16	43:59	46
14	Castro	38	12	6	20	47:63	42
15	Selaya	38	10	11	17	39:57	41
16	Barreda Balompie	38	11	8	19	48:67	41
17	Santona	38	11	8	19	42:59	41
18	Pontejos	38	10	7	21	47:78	37
19	Guarnizo	38	6	5	27	42:78	23
20	Ribamontan al Mar	38	3	11	24	31:64	20