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Santona vs Pontejos

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Tercera Division - Group 3 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 3 2012/2013 game between Santona and Pontejos finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Santona
20%
Draws
60%
Pontejos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pontejos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Pontejos haven't matched Santona's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 3 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Santona Clean Sheet 20%
Pontejos Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santona Pontejos
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 9 7
Draws 8 6
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1.15 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.36 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Pontejos vs Santona
3:3
Sep 7, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Santona vs Pontejos
0:0
Mar 17, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Santona vs Pontejos
1:0
Oct 28, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Pontejos vs Santona
1:1
Jan 9, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Pontejos vs Santona
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santona 32 / 100
Pontejos 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santona Pontejos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pontejos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pontejos conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.

Santona's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Pontejos has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Santona VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santona

(Home)
17 May
Rayo Cantabria
1 : 0
Santona
10 May
Santona
2 : 2
Barreda Balompie
02 May
Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)
3 : 1
Santona
29 Apr
Santona
0 : 1
Atletico Albericia
26 Apr
CD Revilla
2 : 2
Santona
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Pontejos

(Away)
11 May
Barreda Balompie
4 : 2
Pontejos
04 May
Pontejos
3 : 0
Guarnizo
26 Apr
Ribamontan al Mar
1 : 2
Pontejos
20 Apr
Pontejos
0 : 1
Gama
17 Apr
Castro
4 : 0
Pontejos
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Tropezon 38 25 8 5 87:32 83
2 Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) 38 25 8 5 76:27 83
3 Cayon CD 38 20 13 5 50:22 73
4 CD Laredo 38 18 14 6 54:30 68
5 Castro 38 20 8 10 52:33 68
6 Vimenor 38 17 10 11 53:43 61
7 Barreda Balompie 38 17 9 12 50:44 60
8 Santona 38 16 10 12 53:51 58
9 CD Siete Villas 38 15 8 15 48:49 53
10 Guarnizo 38 13 13 12 45:41 52
11 UM Escobedo 38 14 9 15 67:54 51
12 Gama 38 15 5 18 35:42 50
13 Bezana 38 11 14 13 42:47 47
14 Atletico Albericia 38 12 11 15 50:51 47
15 Pontejos 38 13 8 17 45:55 47
16 Ribamontan al Mar 38 11 12 15 42:51 45
17 Deportiva Santillana 38 9 9 20 43:65 36
18 Textil Escudo 38 8 6 24 35:69 30
19 Escuela Meruelo 38 5 7 26 33:85 22
20 San Martin Arena 38 2 6 30 16:85 12
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)