Sport Picks

Brazil

Campeonato Amapaense 2008

Mazagao

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Santos AP play Mazagao in the Campeonato Amapaense 2008. It looks like a close match. Recently, Santos AP averaged 1.82 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. Mazagao averaged 1.52 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, Santos AP won 0, Mazagao won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 26, 2011 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Santos AP and 1.63 for Mazagao. This points to a Mazagao double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Santos AP

24%

Draws

40%

Mazagao

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Mazagao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Santos AP picked up more points recently compared to Mazagao.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 84%

Over 2.5 Goals 60%

Over 3.5 Goals 36%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%

Santos AP Clean Sheet 14%

Mazagao Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 76%

Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Santos AP	Mazagao
Matches Played	40	31
Wins	17	15
Draws	11	6
Losses	12	10
Goals Scored	1.82	1.52
Goals Conceded	1.27	1.23
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2011 Amapaense

Santos AP vs Mazagao

Possession: 48% - 48% Cards: 0 - 2

2:2

Apr 26, 2008 Amapaense

Santos AP vs Mazagao

Possession: 40% - 57% Cards: 1 - 3

2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos AP 35 / 100

Mazagao 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Santos AP Mazagao

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Mazagao or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.85

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Santos AP attacking → ← attacking Mazagao

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santos AP scored in 85% of their last 40 games.

Mazagao let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Santos AP went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Mazagao lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

62 Points in last 5 51

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Trem	9	5	3	1	22:9	18
2	SAO Jose	9	4	4	1	19:9	16
3	Mazagao	9	3	4	2	14:13	13
4	Cristal AP	9	2	5	2	10:8	11
5	Ypiranga AP	9	2	5	2	9:8	11
6	Independente AP	9	2	5	2	9:9	11
7	Amapa	9	2	4	3	12:16	10
8	Sao Paulo AP	9	2	3	4	14:18	9
9	Macapa	9	2	3	4	10:18	9
10	Santos AP	9	2	2	5	14:25	8