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Santos FC vs Binacional - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2 Estadio Municipal de Nasca, Nazca
Santos FC Logo

Santos FC

3 - 1
FT
Binacional Logo

Binacional

Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Munoz J.
44'
Marcelin Perez J. G.
57' Event
Rojas Castilla A. S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 game between Santos FC and Binacional finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santos FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Santos FC
30%
Draws
29%
Binacional
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santos FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santos FC come out ahead of Binacional on wins alone.
  • Santos FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Santos FC Clean Sheet 68%
Binacional Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos FC Binacional
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 5
Draws 4 8
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.29 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.32 2.54
Expected Goals (xG) 3.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Liga 2
Santos FC vs Binacional
3:1
Mar 28, 2026 Liga 2
Binacional vs Santos FC
1:1
Jul 22, 2024 Liga 2
Santos FC vs Binacional
0:0
Jun 2, 2024 Liga 2
Binacional vs Santos FC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santos FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Rojas Castilla A. S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Munoz J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.66

Binacional Compare

Top Goalscorer Cristhian G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos FC 95 / 100
Binacional 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos FC Binacional

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santos FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santos FC's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Binacional has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Santos FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Santos FC VS Binacional
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 5.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Santos FC

(Home)
07 Oct
AD Cantolao
0 : 3
Santos FC
12 Sept
Union Minas
2 : 0
Santos FC
05 Sept
Santos FC
4 : 1
Estudiantil CNI
30 Aug
Tacna Heroica
3 : 1
Santos FC
17 Aug
Santos FC
3 : 3
Alianza Huanuco
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Binacional

(Away)
25 Sept
Binacional
2 : 2
AD Cantolao
12 Sept
Binacional
0 : 0
Alianza Huanuco
04 Sept
Sport Huancayo 2
7 : 0
Binacional
29 Aug
Binacional
1 : 0
Comerciantes FC
22 Aug
Ayacucho
7 : 1
Binacional
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 16 9 5 2 19:5 32
2 Carlos Mannucci 16 9 3 4 22:12 30
3 Llacuabamba 16 8 4 4 23:10 28
4 Pirata 16 7 4 5 25:20 25
5 U. San Martin 16 7 3 6 26:17 24
6 ADA Jaen 16 6 6 4 17:12 24
7 Cesar Vallejo 15 5 4 6 14:13 19
8 AD Cantolao 16 3 5 8 19:30 14
9 San Marcos 15 0 0 15 1:47 0
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes FC 16 6 8 2 24:15 26
2 Tacna Heroica 16 7 5 4 20:16 26
3 Union Minas 16 6 7 3 25:12 25
4 Sport Huancayo 2 16 7 3 6 21:15 24
5 Alianza Huanuco 16 6 5 5 20:17 23
6 Ayacucho 16 6 4 6 22:19 22
7 Santos FC 16 6 3 7 19:22 21
8 Estudiantil CNI 16 4 5 7 25:21 17
9 Binacional 16 2 4 10 10:49 10
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)