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Santos FC vs Comerciantes FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2 Estadio Municipal de Nasca, Nazca
Santos FC Logo

Santos FC

1 - 0
FT
Comerciantes FC Logo

Comerciantes FC

Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Perlaza V.
34'
Baylon J.
41'
Acosta A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 game between Santos FC and Comerciantes FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santos FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Santos FC
20%
Draws
29%
Comerciantes FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santos FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santos FC come out ahead of Comerciantes FC on wins alone.
  • Santos FC are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Santos FC Clean Sheet 68%
Comerciantes FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos FC Comerciantes FC
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 9
Draws 4 12
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.29 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.32 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Liga 2
Santos FC vs Comerciantes FC
1:0
Apr 19, 2026 Liga 2
Comerciantes FC vs Santos FC
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 Liga 2
Santos FC vs Comerciantes FC
0:0
Aug 16, 2025 Liga 2
Comerciantes FC vs Santos FC
3:0
May 25, 2025 Liga 2
Comerciantes FC vs Santos FC
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santos FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Curiel M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Comerciantes FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos FC 68 / 100
Comerciantes FC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos FC Comerciantes FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santos FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santos FC's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Comerciantes FC let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Santos FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Santos FC VS Comerciantes FC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Santos FC

(Home)
07 Oct
AD Cantolao
0 : 3
Santos FC
12 Sept
Union Minas
2 : 0
Santos FC
05 Sept
Santos FC
4 : 1
Estudiantil CNI
30 Aug
Tacna Heroica
3 : 1
Santos FC
17 Aug
Santos FC
3 : 3
Alianza Huanuco
Page 1 of 6

Comerciantes FC

(Away)
07 Oct
Llacuabamba
4 : 0
Comerciantes FC
25 Sept
Comerciantes FC
0 : 1
Sport Huancayo 2
04 Sept
Comerciantes FC
5 : 1
Ayacucho
29 Aug
Binacional
1 : 0
Comerciantes FC
22 Aug
Comerciantes FC
2 : 2
Union Minas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 16 9 5 2 19:5 32
2 Carlos Mannucci 16 9 3 4 22:12 30
3 Llacuabamba 16 8 4 4 23:10 28
4 Pirata 16 7 4 5 25:20 25
5 U. San Martin 16 7 3 6 26:17 24
6 ADA Jaen 16 6 6 4 17:12 24
7 Cesar Vallejo 15 5 4 6 14:13 19
8 AD Cantolao 16 3 5 8 19:30 14
9 San Marcos 15 0 0 15 1:47 0
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes FC 16 6 8 2 24:15 26
2 Tacna Heroica 16 7 5 4 20:16 26
3 Union Minas 16 6 7 3 25:12 25
4 Sport Huancayo 2 16 7 3 6 21:15 24
5 Alianza Huanuco 16 6 5 5 20:17 23
6 Ayacucho 16 6 4 6 22:19 22
7 Santos FC 16 6 3 7 19:22 21
8 Estudiantil CNI 16 4 5 7 25:21 17
9 Binacional 16 2 4 10 10:49 10
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)