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Santos Laguna U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Ben Rhouma A.

AI Match Summary

Guadalajara Chivas U21 in this Liga MX U21 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guadalajara Chivas U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Santos Laguna U21
15%
Draws
57%
Guadalajara Chivas U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guadalajara Chivas U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guadalajara Chivas U21 lately — more wins on the board than Santos Laguna U21.
  • Model gives Guadalajara Chivas U21 a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga MX U21 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Guadalajara Chivas U21 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Santos Laguna U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Guadalajara Chivas U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos Laguna U21 Guadalajara Chivas U21
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 16
Draws 1 4
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 0.96 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Liga MX U21
Santos Laguna U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21
0:1
Mar 14, 2026 Liga MX U21
Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs Santos Laguna U21
2:1
Aug 10, 2025 Liga MX U21
Santos Laguna U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santos Laguna U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Guadalajara Chivas U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ben Rhouma A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos Laguna U21 19 / 100
Guadalajara Chivas U21 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos Laguna U21 Guadalajara Chivas U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guadalajara Chivas U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Santos Laguna U21 scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Guadalajara Chivas U21 has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Santos Laguna U21 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santos Laguna U21 VS Guadalajara Chivas U21
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Santos Laguna U21

(Home)
26 Sept
Santos Laguna U21
2 : 0
Pachuca U21
20 Sept
Toluca U21
2 : 1
Santos Laguna U21
13 Sept
Santos Laguna U21
1 : 2
Juarez U21
06 Sept
Cruz Azul U21
4 : 0
Santos Laguna U21
29 Aug
Santos Laguna U21
1 : 0
Tigres UANL U21
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Guadalajara Chivas U21

(Away)
10 Oct
Atlas U21
0 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas U21
02 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0
Juarez U21
26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
2 : 4
Queretaro U21
19 Sept
Club America U21
1 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas U21
13 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0
UNAM Pumas U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca U21 11 11 0 0 22:8 30
2 Club Leon U21 11 10 0 1 21:10 27
3 Club Tijuana U21 10 7 0 3 18:12 21
4 Guadalajara Chivas U21 10 6 0 4 16:14 18
5 Puebla U21 11 5 0 6 12:11 17
6 Club America U21 10 5 0 5 14:14 15
7 Santos Laguna U21 10 5 0 5 10:12 15
8 Monterrey U21 9 5 0 4 19:13 14
9 Necaxa U21 10 5 0 5 11:15 14
10 Atletico San Luis U21 10 5 0 5 17:19 13
11 Pachuca U21 10 3 0 7 10:15 13
12 Atlante U21 10 4 0 6 14:20 13
13 Cruz Azul U21 10 5 0 5 18:16 12
14 Atlas U21 10 3 0 7 13:13 12
15 UNAM Pumas U21 10 3 0 7 10:14 12
16 Juarez U21 10 4 0 6 9:12 11
17 Tigres UANL U21 11 3 0 8 11:21 10
18 Queretaro U21 9 2 0 7 10:16 6
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)