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Santos PA vs CA Vila Rica

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Paraense A3 game between Santos PA and CA Vila Rica finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santos PA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Santos PA
17%
Draws
13%
CA Vila Rica
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Santos PA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santos PA come out ahead of CA Vila Rica on wins alone.
  • Santos PA are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Paraense A3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Santos PA Clean Sheet 20%
CA Vila Rica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos PA CA Vila Rica
Matches Played 21 8
Wins 5 0
Draws 6 2
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.25 0.4
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2025 Paraense A3
CA Vila Rica vs Santos PA
1:1
Oct 1, 2025 Paraense A3
Santos PA vs CA Vila Rica
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos PA 67 / 100
CA Vila Rica 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos PA CA Vila Rica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Vila Rica has conceded goals in 100% of their last 8 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Santos PA went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: CA Vila Rica has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Santos PA VS CA Vila Rica
1.25 Goals Scored 0.4
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 40%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Belenense43016:39
2Paraense SC42027:66
3Pedreira41036:103
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Santos PA42206:28
2Venus42117:37
3CA Vila Rica40131:91
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sport Belem440013:412
2Tesla42028:76
3Tiradentes PA40043:130
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Paraense44008:112
2Gaviao41123:54
3Altamira40132:71