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Santos PA vs Venus Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A3 2025
Santos PA Logo

Santos PA

3 - 1
FT
Venus Logo

Venus

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Santos PA in this Paraense A3 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santos PA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Santos PA
30%
Draws
47%
Venus
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Venus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Venus lately — more wins on the board than Santos PA.
  • Win probability leans Venus's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Santos PA Clean Sheet 11%
Venus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos PA Venus
Matches Played 21 14
Wins 5 6
Draws 6 2
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2025 Paraense A3
Santos PA vs Venus
3:1
Sep 28, 2025 Paraense A3
Venus vs Santos PA
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos PA 10 / 100
Venus 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos PA Venus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Venus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Venus let in goals in 71% of their last 14 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Santos PA has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Santos PA's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Santos PA VS Venus
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Santos PA

(Home)
03 Jun
Urumajo
3 : 0
Santos PA
30 May
Santos PA
0 : 1
Urumajo
23 May
Canaa
0 : 0
Santos PA
19 May
Santos PA
3 : 1
Caete
09 May
Santos PA
2 : 2
Canaa
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Venus

(Away)
27 Sept
Venus
2 : 1
Pinheirense
19 Sept
Pedreira
1 : 2
Venus
16 Sept
Venus
5 : 2
ESMAC
11 Sept
Venus
0 : 1
Pedreira
05 Sept
ESMAC
1 : 1
Venus
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belenense 4 3 0 1 6:3 9
2 Paraense SC 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
3 Pedreira 4 1 0 3 6:10 3
Promotion - Paraense A3 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos PA 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
2 Venus 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
3 CA Vila Rica 4 0 1 3 1:9 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Belem 4 4 0 0 13:4 12
2 Tesla 4 2 0 2 8:7 6
3 Tiradentes PA 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - Paraense A3 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Paraense 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
2 Gaviao 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
3 Altamira 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 2025 (Play Offs)