Sport Picks

Estonia

Esiliiga 2018

Rakvere

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Santos Tartu play Rakvere in the Esiliiga 2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, Santos Tartu averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. Rakvere averaged 1.09 goals scored and 2.58 conceded. In past meetings, Santos Tartu won 2, Rakvere won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Sep 27, 2018 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.04 for Santos Tartu and 0.80 for Rakvere. This points to a Santos Tartu double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%

Santos Tartu

23%

Draws

25%

Rakvere

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Santos Tartu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence

Santos Tartu picked up more points recently compared to Rakvere.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.04 vs 0.80 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 87%

Over 2.5 Goals 65%

Over 3.5 Goals 39%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%

Santos Tartu Clean Sheet 26%

Rakvere Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 78%

Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Santos Tartu	Rakvere
Matches Played	30	33
Wins	11	7
Draws	6	4
Losses	13	22
Goals Scored	1.47	1.09
Goals Conceded	1.83	2.58

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2018 Esiliiga

Santos Tartu vs Rakvere

Possession: 53% - 41% Cards: 2 - 0

2:0

Aug 4, 2018 Esiliiga

Rakvere vs Santos Tartu

Possession: 43% - 45% Cards: 0 - 3

2:2

May 10, 2018 Esiliiga

Santos Tartu vs Rakvere

Possession: 45% - 47% Cards: 0 - 2

1:1

Apr 12, 2018 Esiliiga

Rakvere vs Santos Tartu

Possession: 43% - 53% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Sep 21, 2017 Esiliiga

Santos Tartu vs Rakvere

Possession: 56% - 59% Cards: 2 - 1

6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santos Tartu Compare

Top Goalscorer Oigus K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Rakvere Compare

Top Goalscorer Akimov S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.45

Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos Tartu 52 / 100

Rakvere 25 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Santos Tartu Rakvere

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Santos Tartu or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18%

2.27

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.69

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Santos Tartu attacking → ← attacking Rakvere

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santos Tartu scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Rakvere let in goals in 91% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Santos Tartu went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Rakvere lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 25

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Maardu Linnameeskond	36	29	1	6	126:38	88
2	Flora Tallinn U21	36	21	8	7	115:31	71
3	Levadia U21	36	18	7	11	67:56	61
4	Elva	36	15	10	11	51:64	55
5	Rakvere	36	14	10	12	59:60	52
6	Tartu JK Welco	36	12	6	18	44:78	42
7	Santos Tartu	36	11	8	17	47:68	41
8	Tallinna Kalev U21	36	10	9	17	37:52	39
9	Keila JK	36	10	5	21	41:88	35
10	Kalju U21	36	5	6	25	37:89	21