Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santos U20 vs Botafogo RJ U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U20 CT Rei Pele, Santos
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Kaua Branco
21'
Pierri S.
46'
Sub
Santiago In: Arthur Izaque
Out: Santiago

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Santos U20
15%
Draws
32%
Botafogo RJ U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santos U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Botafogo RJ U20 haven't matched Santos U20's recent run of results.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Santos U20 taking it.
  • Santos U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Santos U20, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Santos U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Botafogo RJ U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos U20 Botafogo RJ U20
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 20 17
Draws 5 5
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 2.03 1.76
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Botafogo RJ U20 vs Santos U20
1:0
Jul 8, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Santos U20 vs Botafogo RJ U20
4:1
May 27, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Santos U20 vs Botafogo RJ U20
1:1
Mar 12, 2025 Brasileiro U20
Santos U20 vs Botafogo RJ U20
4:1
Aug 7, 2024 Brasileiro U20
Botafogo RJ U20 vs Santos U20
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santos U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Fabri V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pedro Assis
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Botafogo RJ U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Arthur Izaque
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos U20 84 / 100
Botafogo RJ U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos U20 Botafogo RJ U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santos U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santos U20 scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Santos U20 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Botafogo RJ U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Santos U20 VS Botafogo RJ U20
2.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Santos U20

(Home)
25 Sept
Santos U20
2 : 0
Jabaquara U20
21 Sept
Jabaquara U20
1 : 4
Santos U20
12 Sept
Santos U20
2 : 0
Mirassol U20
10 Sept
Santos U20
2 : 1
Cuiaba U20
04 Sept
Portuguesa Santista U20
0 : 1
Santos U20
Page 1 of 7

Botafogo RJ U20

(Away)
19 Sept
Botafogo RJ U20
0 : 1
Flamengo RJ U20
16 Sept
Fluminense U20
3 : 0
Botafogo RJ U20
09 Sept
Botafogo RJ U20
4 : 0
Estrela De Marco U20
04 Sept
Botafogo RJ U20
4 : 0
Sampaio Correa FE U20
27 Aug
Botafogo RJ U20
4 : 1
Volta Redonda U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Palmeiras U20 4
Corinthians U20 1
Bragantino U20 4
Athletico-PR U20 1
Vasco U20 2
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 1
Botafogo RJ U20 2
Santos U20 4
Semi-finals
Palmeiras U20 5
Bragantino U20 3
Vasco U20 3
Santos U20 2
Final
Palmeiras U20 1
Vasco U20 2