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Santos U20 vs Sao Paulo U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santos U20 play Sao Paulo U20 in the Brasileiro U20. It looks like a close match. Recently, Santos U20 averaged 1.71 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Sao Paulo U20 averaged 1.94 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, Santos U20 won 2, Sao Paulo U20 won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 1, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Santos U20 and 1.19 for Sao Paulo U20. This points to a Santos U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Santos U20
19%
Draws
37%
Sao Paulo U20
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Santos U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Santos U20 picked up more points recently compared to Sao Paulo U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Santos U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Paulo U20 Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos U20 Sao Paulo U20
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 18 15
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.71 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Santos U20 vs Sao Paulo U20
0:3
Nov 16, 2025 Paulista U20
Sao Paulo U20 vs Santos U20
3:4
Nov 9, 2025 Paulista U20
Santos U20 vs Sao Paulo U20
1:1
Mar 27, 2025 Brasileiro U20
Sao Paulo U20 vs Santos U20
2:4
Jun 18, 2024 Brasileiro U20
Sao Paulo U20 vs Santos U20
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santos U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Sao Paulo U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kauan N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lucyan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos U20 44 / 100
Sao Paulo U20 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos U20 Sao Paulo U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Santos U20 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Santos U20 attacking → ← attacking Sao Paulo U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santos U20 scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Sao Paulo U20 let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Santos U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sao Paulo U20 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 52
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Palmeiras U2019135154:2344
2Vasco U2019113536:1936
3Botafogo RJ U2019113532:2036
4Bragantino U2019104549:3534
5Athletico-PR U201995539:2532
6Santos U201994629:2431
7Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U201985635:2729
8Corinthians U201985631:2529
9Bahia U201985632:3029
10Flamengo RJ U201977528:2928
11Sao Paulo U201967627:2625
12America MG U201967625:3725
13Cuiaba U2019631019:2721
14Vitoria U201955920:3120
15Gremio U2019611231:4219
16Fluminense U2019541025:3119
17EC Juventude U2019531120:3918
18Criciuma U2019521224:4017
19Avai U201937924:4316
20Fortaleza U201929818:2515