Sport Picks
Match Events
31'
31'
Neymar
39'
39'
Luciano Juba
44'
44'
Acevedo N.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie A matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santos
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Santos have won more games recently than Bahia.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Santos taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Santos Clean Sheet 19%
Bahia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Santos | Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 10 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 25, 2026 Serie A
Santos vs Bahia
1:1
Apr 25, 2026 Serie A
Bahia vs Santos
2:2
Aug 24, 2025 Serie A
Bahia vs Santos
2:0
Apr 6, 2025 Serie A
Santos vs Bahia
2:2
Sep 18, 2023 Serie A
Bahia vs Santos
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Santos Compare
Top Goalscorer Luan Peres
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Bahia Compare
Top Goalscorer Luciano Juba
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Santos 58 / 100
Bahia 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Santos Bahia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Santos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Santos scored in 80% of their last 35 outings.
Bahia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Santos went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Santos VS Bahia
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Santos
(Home) 25 Oct
Santos
1 : 1 Bahia
18 Oct
Fluminense
1 : 2 Santos
11 Oct
Atletico-MG
2 : 1 Santos
08 Oct
Santos
2 : 2 Flamengo RJ
02 Oct
Sao Paulo
1 : 2 Santos
Page 1 of 7
25 Oct
Santos
1 : 1 Bahia
08 Oct
Santos
2 : 2 Flamengo RJ
13 Sept
Santos
2 : 1 Cruzeiro
09 Sept
Santos
2 : 0 Atletico-MG
03 Sept
Santos
0 : 0 Palmeiras
Page 1 of 4
Bahia
(Away) 25 Oct
Santos
1 : 1 Bahia
18 Oct
Bahia
0 : 3 Flamengo RJ
11 Oct
Bahia
1 : 0 Mirassol
09 Oct
Palmeiras
1 : 0 Bahia
20 Sept
Athletico-PR
2 : 1 Bahia
Page 1 of 6
25 Oct
Santos
1 : 1 Bahia
09 Oct
Palmeiras
1 : 0 Bahia
20 Sept
Athletico-PR
2 : 1 Bahia
05 Sept
Bragantino
2 : 3 Bahia
23 Aug
Vitoria
0 : 2 Bahia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64:27 | 70 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 56:22 | 69 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 51:46 | 54 |
| 4 | Athletico-PR | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 50:38 | 54 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 50:41 | 51 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 44:38 | 50 |
| 7 | Bahia | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 45:40 | 50 |
| 8 | Santos | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 49:47 | 46 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 37:36 | 43 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39:38 | 41 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 44:51 | 39 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 38:50 | 39 |
| 13 | Vasco | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 39:45 | 38 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:46 | 38 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 37:45 | 37 |
| 16 | Internacional | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 36:40 | 35 |
| 17 | Gremio | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 35:44 | 34 |
| 18 | Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 34:42 | 33 |
| 19 | Remo | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 34:50 | 26 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 32:63 | 21 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)
