Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santos vs Bragantino

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Estadio Urbano Caldeira, Santos
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Lucas Barbosa
16'
Pitta I.
45'
Gabriel

AI Match Summary

The Serie A Betano game between Santos and Bragantino finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Santos
30%
Draws
34%
Bragantino
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Bragantino carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Santos a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie A Betano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Santos Clean Sheet 14%
Bragantino Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos Bragantino
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 12
Draws 10 5
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Serie A Betano
Santos vs Bragantino
2:0
Jan 25, 2026 Paulista
Santos vs Bragantino
0:0
Sep 28, 2025 Serie A Betano
Bragantino vs Santos
2:2
Apr 27, 2025 Serie A Betano
Santos vs Bragantino
1:2
Mar 2, 2025 Paulista
Santos vs Bragantino
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santos Compare

Top Goalscorer Neymar
1 Goals
Assists Leader Frias A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Bragantino Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos 35 / 100
Bragantino 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos Bragantino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santos scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Bragantino let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Santos remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Santos VS Bragantino
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santos

(Home)
16 Jul
Botafogo RJ
2 : 1
Santos
04 Jul
Santos
3 : 0
Uniao Sao Joao
30 May
Santos
3 : 1
Vitoria
27 May
Santos
3 : 0
Dep. Cuenca
23 May
Gremio
3 : 2
Santos
Page 1 of 6

Bragantino

(Away)
17 Jul
Fluminense
1 : 1
Bragantino
11 Jul
Bragantino
2 : 1
Athletico-PR
31 May
Bragantino
3 : 1
Internacional
28 May
Bragantino
2 : 0
Carabobo
24 May
Vasco
0 : 3
Bragantino
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras18125130:1341
2Flamengo RJ17104331:1634
3Fluminense1995529:2432
4Bragantino1993726:2030
5Athletico-PR1893624:1830
6Bahia1885527:2329
7Coritiba1875624:2426
8Sao Paulo1874723:2025
9Botafogo RJ1874733:3225
10Vitoria1874722:2525
11Atletico-MG1873822:2324
12Corinthians1866618:1924
13Cruzeiro1866624:2824
14Internacional1856721:2221
15Santos1956827:3121
16Gremio1956821:2521
17Vasco1955922:3020
18Mirassol1854920:2519
19Remo1846821:2918
20Chapecoense-SC18161117:359
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)