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Stadium Background

Santos vs Coritiba

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Neo Quimica Arena, Sao Paulo
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Breno Lopes
Assist: Josue
16'
Lucas Taverna
20' Event
Breno Lopes
Assist: Pedro Rocha

AI Match Summary

The Serie A Betano game between Santos and Coritiba finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Coritiba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Santos
15%
Draws
31%
Coritiba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Coritiba haven't matched Santos's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Santos a 54% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Santos Clean Sheet 19%
Coritiba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos Coritiba
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 10 10
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.64 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Serie A Betano
Santos vs Coritiba
0:3
May 13, 2026 Copa Betano do Brasil
Coritiba vs Santos
0:2
Apr 22, 2026 Copa Betano do Brasil
Santos vs Coritiba
0:0
Mar 16, 2025 Club Friendly
Coritiba vs Santos
1:4
Nov 12, 2024 Serie B
Coritiba vs Santos
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Coritiba Compare

Top Goalscorer Breno Lopes
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.71

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos 76 / 100
Coritiba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos Coritiba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santos found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (33 games).

Coritiba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Santos has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santos VS Coritiba
0.88 Goals Scored 1.67
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.33
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 83%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Santos

(Home)
19 Sept
Remo
1 : 2
Santos
16 Sept
Atletico-MG
5 : 2
Santos
13 Sept
Santos
2 : 1
Cruzeiro
09 Sept
Santos
2 : 0
Atletico-MG
06 Sept
Internacional
2 : 3
Santos
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Coritiba

(Away)
19 Sept
Vasco
5 : 0
Coritiba
12 Sept
Coritiba
3 : 3
Athletico-PR
06 Sept
Coritiba
1 : 2
Mirassol
31 Aug
Remo
2 : 3
Coritiba
23 Aug
Coritiba
2 : 1
Corinthians
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 28 18 6 4 55:23 60
2 Palmeiras 28 16 9 3 47:21 57
3 Athletico-PR 28 14 7 7 43:32 49
4 Fluminense 28 13 9 6 44:36 48
5 Bahia 28 12 10 6 43:35 46
6 Cruzeiro 28 13 6 9 42:40 45
7 Atletico-MG 27 11 7 9 36:32 40
8 Santos 27 10 8 9 41:40 38
9 Coritiba 28 10 8 10 37:43 38
10 Bragantino 27 10 6 11 33:31 36
11 Sao Paulo 27 10 6 11 32:30 36
12 Botafogo RJ 28 9 8 11 41:45 35
13 Vitoria 28 9 6 13 28:42 33
14 Corinthians 28 8 8 12 29:32 32
15 Mirassol 28 8 8 12 33:42 32
16 Vasco 27 8 7 12 34:41 31
17 Gremio 28 7 8 13 30:38 29
18 Internacional 28 6 10 12 30:36 28
19 Remo 28 5 8 15 32:47 23
20 Chapecoense-SC 27 3 9 15 29:53 18
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)