Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santos vs Coritiba

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Neo Quimica Arena, Sao Paulo
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Breno Lopes
Assist: Josue
16'
Lucas Taverna
20' Event
Breno Lopes
Assist: Pedro Rocha

AI Match Summary

The Serie A Betano game between Santos and Coritiba finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Coritiba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Santos
28%
Draws
22%
Coritiba
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Santos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Santos haven't matched Coritiba's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Santos a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Santos Clean Sheet 20%
Coritiba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos Coritiba
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 10 8
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.88 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Serie A Betano
Santos vs Coritiba
0:3
May 13, 2026 Copa Betano do Brasil
Coritiba vs Santos
0:2
Apr 22, 2026 Copa Betano do Brasil
Santos vs Coritiba
0:0
Mar 16, 2025 Club Friendly
Coritiba vs Santos
1:4
Nov 12, 2024 Serie B
Coritiba vs Santos
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Coritiba Compare

Top Goalscorer Breno Lopes
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos 49 / 100
Coritiba 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos Coritiba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santos found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).

Coritiba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Santos has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santos VS Coritiba
1.88 Goals Scored 1.14
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.29
100% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Santos

(Home)
22 Jul
Universidad Central
1 : 4
Santos
16 Jul
Botafogo RJ
2 : 1
Santos
04 Jul
Santos
3 : 0
Uniao Sao Joao
30 May
Santos
3 : 1
Vitoria
27 May
Santos
3 : 0
Dep. Cuenca
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Coritiba

(Away)
30 May
Flamengo RJ
3 : 0
Coritiba
25 May
Coritiba
3 : 2
Bahia
17 May
Santos
0 : 3
Coritiba
13 May
Coritiba
0 : 2
Santos
09 May
Coritiba
2 : 2
Internacional
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras19135133:1444
2Flamengo RJ18114335:1637
3Athletico-PR19103626:1933
4Fluminense1995529:2432
5Bragantino1993726:2030
6Bahia1986528:2430
7Cruzeiro1976626:2927
8Coritiba1975725:2726
9Sao Paulo1974824:2225
10Botafogo RJ1874733:3225
11Atletico-MG1974823:2425
12Vitoria1874722:2525
13Corinthians1866618:1924
14Internacional1956822:2421
15Santos1956827:3121
16Gremio1956821:2521
17Vasco1955922:3020
18Mirassol1854920:2519
19Remo1846821:2918
20Chapecoense-SC19161217:399
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)