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Santos vs Macara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Urbano Caldeira, Santos
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Posse F.
Assist: Viera M.
25'
Sub
Gabriel Menino In: Fernandes D.
Out: Gabriel Menino
42'
Sub
Gabriel Bontempo In: Rollheiser B.
Out: Gabriel Bontempo

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Santos
15%
Draws
46%
Macara
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Macara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Santos at 1.75 per game, Macara at 1.34.
  • Model gives Santos a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Santos, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Santos Clean Sheet 17%
Macara Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos Macara
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 15
Draws 7 6
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.75 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Macara vs Santos
0:0
Aug 13, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Santos vs Macara
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santos Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Barbosa
1 Goals
Assists Leader Willian Arao
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Macara Compare

Top Goalscorer Posse F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos 36 / 100
Macara 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos Macara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santos scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Macara's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Santos has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santos VS Macara
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Santos

(Home)
08 Oct
Santos
2 : 2
Flamengo RJ
02 Oct
Sao Paulo
1 : 2
Santos
19 Sept
Remo
1 : 2
Santos
16 Sept
Atletico-MG
5 : 2
Santos
13 Sept
Santos
2 : 1
Cruzeiro
Page 1 of 6

Macara

(Away)
19 Sept
Aucas
1 : 2
Macara
13 Sept
Macara
1 : 0
Emelec
05 Sept
Independiente del Valle
3 : 1
Macara
02 Sept
Macara
4 : 3
Manta
30 Aug
Orense
1 : 2
Macara
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Boca Juniors 2
O Higgins 1
TBD -
Recoleta -
Bolivar 4
Gremio 2
TBD -
Sao Paulo -
Santa Fe 5
Caracas 0
TBD -
River Plate -
Ind. Medellin 2
Vasco 3
TBD -
Olimpia Asuncion -
Sporting Cristal 0
Bragantino 1
TBD -
Atletico-MG -
Universidad Central 3
Santos 8
TBD -
Macara -
Club Nacional 2
Tigre 4
TBD -
Montevideo City -
Lanus 2
Cienciano 4
TBD -
Botafogo RJ -
1/8-finals
Boca Juniors 7
Recoleta 1
Bolivar 2
Sao Paulo 4
Santa Fe 2
River Plate 1
Vasco 4
Olimpia Asuncion 1
Bragantino 2
Atletico-MG 3
Santos 2
Macara 1
Tigre 1
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 6
Botafogo RJ 2
Quarter-finals
Boca Juniors 2
Sao Paulo 1
Santa Fe 0
Vasco 2
Atletico-MG 5
Santos 4
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 2
Semi-finals
Boca Juniors -
Vasco -
Atletico-MG -
Montevideo City -
Final
TBD -
TBD -