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Santos W vs Mirassol W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Women Estadio Urbano Caldeira, Santos
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Ketlen

AI Match Summary

Santos W in this Paulista Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santos W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Santos W
15%
Draws
12%
Mirassol W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santos W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Santos W have won more games recently than Mirassol W.
  • Santos W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Paulista Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Santos W Clean Sheet 20%
Mirassol W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos W Mirassol W
Matches Played 30 7
Wins 10 0
Draws 9 1
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.43 0.29
Goals Conceded 1.3 2.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Paulista Women
Santos W vs Mirassol W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santos W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ketlen
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Mirassol W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.37

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos W 85 / 100
Mirassol W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos W Mirassol W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santos W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mirassol W conceded in 100% of 7 recent games.

Santos W found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Mirassol W's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Santos W VS Mirassol W
0.88 Goals Scored 0.33
1 Goals Conceded 2.33
50% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Santos W

(Home)
26 Aug
Santos W
1 : 0
Mirassol W
22 Aug
Vitoria W
1 : 2
Santos W
16 Aug
Santos W
2 : 3
CR Flamengo W
13 Aug
Sao Paulo W
1 : 0
Santos W
09 Aug
Corinthians W
4 : 1
Santos W
Page 1 of 6

Mirassol W

(Away)
26 Aug
Santos W
1 : 0
Mirassol W
12 Aug
Mirassol W
1 : 4
Corinthians W
27 Jul
Sao Paulo W
2 : 0
Mirassol W
16 Jul
Mirassol W
1 : 1
Bragantino W
07 Jun
Taubate W
2 : 0
Mirassol W
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviaria W 7 5 1 1 15:5 16
2 Palmeiras W 7 5 1 1 13:3 16
3 Corinthians W 7 4 1 2 20:8 13
4 Sao Paulo W 7 4 0 3 7:7 12
5 Santos W 7 2 3 2 6:6 9
6 Bragantino W 7 1 4 2 5:13 7
7 Taubate W 7 1 1 5 8:15 4
8 Mirassol W 7 0 1 6 2:19 1
Promotion - Paulista Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Paulista Women (Play Offs)