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Santos W vs Taubate W

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Women Estadio Urbano Caldeira, Santos
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Rafaela
84'
Pires S.

AI Match Summary

Santos W in this Paulista Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santos W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Santos W
40%
Draws
29%
Taubate W
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Taubate W haven't matched Santos W's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Paulista Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Santos W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Santos W Clean Sheet 20%
Taubate W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos W Taubate W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 9 3
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 0.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Paulista Women
Santos W vs Taubate W
1:0
Nov 26, 2025 Copa Paulista Women
Santos W vs Taubate W
2:1
Oct 31, 2025 Paulista Women
Santos W vs Taubate W
4:0
Jul 9, 2025 Paulista Women
Taubate W vs Santos W
2:0
May 17, 2025 Brasileiro A2 Women
Taubate W vs Santos W
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santos W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rafaela
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Taubate W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos W 32 / 100
Taubate W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos W Taubate W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Taubate W let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Santos W scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Taubate W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santos W VS Taubate W
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santos W

(Home)
18 Jul
Santos W
1 : 0
Taubate W
28 May
Atletico-PI W
2 : 1
Santos W
25 May
Sao Paulo W
3 : 0
Santos W
21 May
Corinthians W
2 : 2
Santos W
17 May
Santos W
0 : 1
Bragantino W
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Taubate W

(Away)
18 Jul
Santos W
1 : 0
Taubate W
12 Jul
Sao Paulo W
2 : 1
Taubate W
07 Jun
Taubate W
2 : 0
Mirassol W
30 May
Vila Nova FC W
3 : 2
Taubate W
23 May
Taubate W
0 : 0
Minas Brasilia W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferroviaria W43018:39
2Corinthians W421110:47
3Palmeiras W42117:27
4Sao Paulo W42024:46
5Santos W41214:45
6Bragantino W41213:85
7Taubate W41124:44
8Mirassol W40131:121
Promotion - Paulista Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Paulista Women (Play Offs)