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Santurtzi vs Amurrio Club - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
10:15 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santurtzi host Amurrio Club in the Tercera RFEF - Group 4. Little to choose between these two on current form. Santurtzi have averaged 0.88 scored and 1.19 conceded recently, against Amurrio Club's 1 scored and 1.61 conceded. Head-to-head, Santurtzi have won 2 to Amurrio Club's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 24, 2019, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 0.94) point toward Santurtzi. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Santurtzi
15%
Draws
12%
Amurrio Club
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santurtzi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Amurrio Club haven't matched Santurtzi's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Santurtzi a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Santurtzi Clean Sheet 20%
Amurrio Club Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santurtzi Amurrio Club
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 10 6
Draws 9 9
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Amurrio Club vs Santurtzi
1:0
Nov 1, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santurtzi vs Amurrio Club
1:0
Feb 4, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Amurrio Club vs Santurtzi
1:1
Sep 24, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santurtzi vs Amurrio Club
3:0
Feb 5, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santurtzi vs Amurrio Club
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santurtzi 85 / 100
Amurrio Club 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santurtzi Amurrio Club

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santurtzi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santurtzi's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Amurrio Club let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Amurrio Club's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Santurtzi VS Amurrio Club
0.88 Goals Scored 0.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santurtzi

(Home)
10 Oct
Santurtzi
1 : 0
Real Union B
03 Oct
Pasaia
1 : 0
Santurtzi
27 Sept
Santurtzi
0 : 1
Lagun Onak
20 Sept
Derio
2 : 0
Santurtzi
13 Sept
Santurtzi
2 : 1
SCD Durango
Page 1 of 7

Amurrio Club

(Away)
10 Oct
Real Sociedad C
1 : 0
Amurrio Club
04 Oct
Amurrio Club
0 : 5
Leioa
26 Sept
SD Erandio
2 : 0
Amurrio Club
20 Sept
Amurrio Club
0 : 0
Sodupe
12 Sept
Alaves C
3 : 0
Amurrio Club
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurrera de Vitoria 7 5 1 1 12:8 16
2 Leioa 6 3 3 0 16:6 12
3 Derio 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
4 UD Aretxabaleta 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
5 Real Sociedad C 7 3 2 2 11:10 11
6 Alaves C 6 3 1 2 13:6 10
7 Pasaia 6 3 1 2 9:10 10
8 San Ignacio 6 2 2 2 10:8 8
9 Touring KE 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
10 Sodupe 6 2 2 2 5:9 8
11 SCD Durango 6 1 4 1 9:9 7
12 Beasain 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
13 Lagun Onak 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
14 SD Erandio 6 2 0 4 6:8 6
15 Santurtzi 6 2 0 4 3:7 6
16 Eibar C 6 1 2 3 9:10 5
17 Real Union B 6 1 2 3 7:12 5
18 Amurrio Club 6 0 1 5 1:13 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 (Play Offs)