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Santurtzi vs Real Union B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santurtzi host Real Union B in the Tercera RFEF - Group 4. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Santurtzi have averaged 0.88 scored and 1.28 conceded recently, against Real Union B's 1.4 scored and 2.2 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.23 - 1.21) back Santurtzi to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Santurtzi
20%
Draws
50%
Real Union B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Union B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Santurtzi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Santurtzi a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Santurtzi Clean Sheet 20%
Real Union B Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santurtzi Real Union B
Matches Played 32 5
Wins 9 1
Draws 9 2
Losses 14 2
Goals Scored 0.88 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.28 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santurtzi 36 / 100
Real Union B 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santurtzi Real Union B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Real Union B conceded in 80% of 5 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Santurtzi scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Santurtzi went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Real Union B has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Santurtzi VS Real Union B
0.63 Goals Scored 1.17
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.83
50% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Santurtzi

(Home)
03 Oct
Pasaia
1 : 0
Santurtzi
27 Sept
Santurtzi
0 : 1
Lagun Onak
20 Sept
Derio
2 : 0
Santurtzi
13 Sept
Santurtzi
2 : 1
SCD Durango
05 Sept
Beasain
2 : 0
Santurtzi
Page 1 of 7

Real Union B

(Away)
04 Oct
Real Union B
0 : 3
San Ignacio
27 Sept
Real Sociedad C
3 : 3
Real Union B
20 Sept
Real Union B
3 : 3
Leioa
12 Sept
SD Erandio
0 : 1
Real Union B
06 Sept
Real Union B
0 : 2
Sodupe

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurrera de Vitoria 5 4 1 0 10:4 13
2 Derio 5 3 2 0 7:2 11
3 Pasaia 5 3 1 1 7:6 10
4 Leioa 5 2 3 0 12:6 9
5 Real Sociedad C 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
6 Touring KE 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
7 UD Aretxabaleta 5 2 2 1 4:3 8
8 Alaves C 5 2 1 2 11:6 7
9 Lagun Onak 5 2 1 2 4:5 7
10 SCD Durango 5 1 3 1 8:8 6
11 SD Erandio 5 2 0 3 6:6 6
12 San Ignacio 5 1 2 2 8:7 5
13 Eibar C 5 1 2 2 8:8 5
14 Real Union B 5 1 2 2 7:11 5
15 Sodupe 5 1 2 2 4:9 5
16 Beasain 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
17 Santurtzi 5 1 0 4 2:7 3
18 Amurrio Club 5 0 1 4 1:12 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 (Play Offs)