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Santutxu FC vs Elgoibar

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Tercera Division - Group 4 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2013/2014 game between Santutxu FC and Elgoibar finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Santutxu FC
11%
Draws
9%
Elgoibar
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Santutxu FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Santutxu FC haven't matched Elgoibar's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Santutxu FC's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Santutxu FC Clean Sheet 20%
Elgoibar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santutxu FC Elgoibar
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 13 11
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Elgoibar vs Santutxu FC
0:0
Dec 1, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santutxu FC vs Elgoibar
2:2
Feb 10, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santutxu FC vs Elgoibar
1:1
Sep 22, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Elgoibar vs Santutxu FC
1:1
Feb 4, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Elgoibar vs Santutxu FC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santutxu FC 76 / 100
Elgoibar 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santutxu FC Elgoibar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elgoibar let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Santutxu FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Elgoibar lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santutxu FC VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santutxu FC

(Home)
29 Apr
Tolosa
3 : 4
Santutxu FC
23 Apr
Santutxu FC
1 : 3
Leioa
13 Apr
Urduliz FT
2 : 3
Santutxu FC
09 Apr
Santutxu FC
1 : 1
Anaitasuna FT
02 Apr
SCD Durango
1 : 0
Santutxu FC
Page 1 of 7

Elgoibar

(Away)
15 Jul
Elgoibar
0 : 5
Real Sociedad
10 May
Zamudio
0 : 0
Elgoibar
03 May
Elgoibar
0 : 1
Bermeo
26 Apr
Beasain
2 : 1
Elgoibar
17 Apr
Elgoibar
0 : 0
Santutxu FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leioa38249562:3481
2Portugalete382010867:3870
3Arenas Getxo38209967:3969
4Basconia381910977:4967
5Alaves B3817111054:3362
6Zalla UC3816121055:4560
7Gernika Club381514943:2959
8Zamudio3815111264:4856
9Balmaseda3814131145:4055
10Beasain3814101445:5952
11Santutxu FC38921837:4048
12SCD Durango381391652:5748
13Pasaia3812101639:4846
14Lagun Onak381291734:4645
15Oiartzun3811111640:6144
16Amurrio Club381191831:4542
17Bermeo389121737:4639
18Elgoibar387141726:4835
19Sodupe385102336:6525
20Retuerto Sport385102321:6225
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)