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Sao Bento vs Guarani B

Brazil Brazil

Copa Paulista 2025 Estádio Municipal Walter Ribeiro, Sorocaba
Our Tip

Match Events

71'
Nicollas

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Sao Bento
20%
Draws
16%
Guarani B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sao Bento

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Sao Bento carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sao Bento's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Sao Bento have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Sao Bento Clean Sheet 16%
Guarani B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Bento Guarani B
Matches Played 30 16
Wins 4 3
Draws 8 3
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.83 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.53 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2025 Copa Paulista
Guarani B vs Sao Bento
1:2
Jul 5, 2025 Copa Paulista
Sao Bento vs Guarani B
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Bento 41 / 100
Guarani B 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Bento Guarani B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarani B let in goals in 88% of their last 16 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Guarani B lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Sao Bento's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Bento VS Guarani B
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Bento

(Home)
07 Mar
Santo Andre
4 : 2
Sao Bento
28 Feb
Sao Bento
2 : 3
Taubate
25 Feb
Sao Bento
1 : 0
Linense
22 Feb
Juventus-SP
0 : 0
Sao Bento
18 Feb
Votuporanguense
3 : 1
Sao Bento
Page 1 of 6

Guarani B

(Away)
16 Aug
Rio Branco SP
2 : 2
Guarani B
11 Aug
Guarani B
1 : 2
Sao Bento
01 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 0
Guarani B
28 Jul
Guarani B
0 : 3
Primavera EC
19 Jul
Paulista
1 : 0
Guarani B
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio Prudente 8 4 4 0 12:6 16
2 Monte Azul 8 4 2 2 8:7 14
3 Noroeste 8 3 2 3 7:7 11
4 AEA Aracatuba 8 2 2 4 8:9 8
5 Linense 8 1 2 5 5:11 5
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Sao Joao 10 5 4 1 15:10 19
2 Comercial 10 5 2 3 13:9 17
3 Internacional de Limeira 10 3 5 2 17:13 14
4 Francana 10 3 5 2 8:8 14
5 Botafogo SP B 10 2 3 5 8:12 9
6 Itapirense 10 2 1 7 11:20 7
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Piracicaba 10 7 3 0 13:4 24
2 Primavera EC 10 5 4 1 15:9 19
3 Paulista 10 4 1 5 10:10 13
4 Sao Bento 10 2 5 3 12:14 11
5 Guarani B 10 2 2 6 10:16 8
6 Rio Branco SP 10 0 5 5 6:13 5
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Jose EC 10 6 2 2 19:7 20
2 Portuguesa Santista 10 3 6 1 11:8 15
3 Osasco Sporting 10 4 2 4 8:10 14
4 Sao Caetano 10 4 1 5 8:11 13
5 Taubate 10 2 4 4 9:10 10
6 Santo Andre 10 1 5 4 4:13 8
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)