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Sao Bento vs Sao Jose EC

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A2
Our Tip

Match Events

83' Event
Rikelmi

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A2 game between Sao Bento and Sao Jose EC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Jose EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Sao Bento
35%
Draws
45%
Sao Jose EC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sao Jose EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Sao Jose EC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Sao Jose EC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Sao Bento Clean Sheet 10%
Sao Jose EC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Bento Sao Jose EC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 17
Draws 8 7
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 0.83 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.53 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Paulista A2
Sao Bento vs Sao Jose EC
0:1
Aug 30, 2025 Copa Paulista
Sao Jose EC vs Sao Bento
2:1
Aug 25, 2025 Copa Paulista
Sao Bento vs Sao Jose EC
1:1
Feb 23, 2025 Paulista A2
Sao Jose EC vs Sao Bento
1:1
Mar 16, 2024 Paulista A2
Sao Bento vs Sao Jose EC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Bento Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Sao Jose EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Rikelmi
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Bento 10 / 100
Sao Jose EC 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Bento Sao Jose EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Jose EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sao Jose EC conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Sao Bento scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Sao Bento stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Bento VS Sao Jose EC
2 Goals Scored 1.5
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Bento

(Home)
07 Mar
Santo Andre
4 : 2
Sao Bento
28 Feb
Sao Bento
2 : 3
Taubate
25 Feb
Sao Bento
1 : 0
Linense
22 Feb
Juventus-SP
0 : 0
Sao Bento
18 Feb
Votuporanguense
3 : 1
Sao Bento
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Sao Jose EC

(Away)
27 Sept
Noroeste
1 : 1
Sao Jose EC
19 Sept
Sao Jose EC
3 : 0
Comercial
13 Sept
Comercial
0 : 0
Sao Jose EC
22 Aug
Sao Jose EC
0 : 0
Sao Caetano
15 Aug
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 3
Sao Jose EC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agua Santa 15 10 1 4 24:14 31
2 Ferroviaria 15 8 4 3 22:12 28
3 Ituano 15 8 4 3 22:14 28
4 Sao Jose EC 15 8 3 4 21:13 27
5 Sertaozinho 15 7 4 4 19:19 25
6 Votuporanguense 15 7 3 5 16:17 24
7 Juventus-SP 15 6 5 4 22:20 23
8 Piracicaba 15 6 4 5 16:15 22
9 Osasco Sporting 15 5 7 3 22:18 22
10 Santo Andre 15 5 3 7 16:22 18
11 Taubate 15 3 8 4 22:23 17
12 Internacional de Limeira 15 4 4 7 15:18 16
13 Linense 15 2 7 6 12:18 13
14 Monte Azul 15 2 6 7 17:22 12
15 Gremio Prudente 15 1 9 5 12:16 12
16 Sao Bento 15 1 2 12 8:25 5
Promotion - Paulista A2 (Second stage)
Relegation - Paulista A3 (Main)