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Sao Bernardo FC U20 vs IAPE U20

Brazil Brazil

Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sao Bernardo FC U20 play IAPE U20 in the Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sao Bernardo FC U20 averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. IAPE U20 averaged 1.19 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Sao Bernardo FC U20 won 0, IAPE U20 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 13, 2022 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Sao Bernardo FC U20 and 1.25 for IAPE U20. This points to a IAPE U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Sao Bernardo FC U20
23%
Draws
39%
IAPE U20
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: IAPE U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Sao Bernardo FC U20 picked up more points recently compared to IAPE U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Sao Bernardo FC U20 Clean Sheet 19%
IAPE U20 Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Bernardo FC U20 IAPE U20
Matches Played 16 21
Wins 8 10
Draws 4 4
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 1.69 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2022 Copinha
Sao Bernardo FC U20 vs IAPE U20
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Bernardo FC U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

IAPE U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Diogo Dias
1 Goals
Assists Leader Manoel
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Bernardo FC U20 38 / 100
IAPE U20 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Bernardo FC U20 IAPE U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: IAPE U20 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sao Bernardo FC U20 attacking → ← attacking IAPE U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Bernardo FC U20 scored in 75% of their last 16 games.

IAPE U20 let in goals in 62% of their last 21 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Sao Bernardo FC U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

IAPE U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 34
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13