Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sao Bernardo vs Ceara

Brazil Brazil

Copa Betano do Brasil Estadio Primeiro de Maio, Sao Bernardo
Tue, Mar 17, 2026
0 - 1
10:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Marcao
38'
Vinicius Zanocelo
46'
Sub
Junior Urso In: Dudu Miraima
Out: Junior Urso

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Sao Bernardo
15%
Draws
51%
Ceara
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ceara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ceara come out ahead of Sao Bernardo on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Sao Bernardo taking it.
  • Ceara arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ceara, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Ceara have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Sao Bernardo Clean Sheet 17%
Ceara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Bernardo Ceara
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 10 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.31 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Serie B
Sao Bernardo vs Ceara
3:4
Mar 21, 2026 Serie B
Ceara vs Sao Bernardo
1:1
Mar 17, 2026 Copa Betano do Brasil
Sao Bernardo vs Ceara
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Bernardo 41 / 100
Ceara 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Bernardo Ceara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ceara conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Sao Bernardo's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Difficult form: Ceara registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Bernardo VS Ceara
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Bernardo

(Home)
19 Aug
Fortaleza
1 : 1
Sao Bernardo
14 Aug
Sao Bernardo
0 : 1
Botafogo SP
07 Aug
Operario-PR
1 : 3
Sao Bernardo
26 Jul
Sao Bernardo
3 : 4
Ceara
23 Jul
Athletic Club
2 : 1
Sao Bernardo
Page 1 of 6

Ceara

(Away)
19 Aug
Nautico
1 : 0
Ceara
15 Aug
Ceara
1 : 3
Cuiaba
07 Aug
Ceara
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
26 Jul
Sao Bernardo
3 : 4
Ceara
22 Jul
Ceara
0 : 1
CRB
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Desportiva Ferroviaria 2
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Sport Recife -
Anapolis -
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Cianorte -
Rio Branco ES -
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Athletic Club -
Ypiranga FC -
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Ji-Parana 2
Pantanal 0
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Internacional -
Ivinhema 1
Independente AP 0
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Volta Redonda -
America RN -
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TBD -
Gremio Atletico Sampaio -
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) -
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America MG -
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America de Propria 1
Tirol 2
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Corinthians -
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Vasco da Gama AC 1
Velo Clube 2
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Vila Nova FC -
ASA -
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Operario MS -
Confianca -
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Tombense -
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Oratorio -
Botafogo RJ -
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Chapecoense-SC -
Boavista -
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Maringa FC -
Retro -
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Uberlandia -
Gama 2
Monte Roraima 0
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Goias -
Trem -
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Fluminense-PI -
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Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
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Joinville -
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CSA -
Sao Bernardo -
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Alagoinhas -
Sao Luiz -
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Maranhao -
Ceara -
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Araguaina 0
Primavera EC 3
Sao Paulo -
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Tuna Luso -
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Tocantinopolis -
EC Juventude -
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Galvez 1
Guapore 2
Bare 0
Madureira 3
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ABC -
Aguia De Maraba -
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Independencia Futebol Clube -
Portuguesa -
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AE Altos -
Avai -
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Porto Vitoria -
Paysandu PA -
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Portuguesa RJ -
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Maracana -
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Vasco -
Capital FC -
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Manaus FC -
Londrina -
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SC Penedense -
Betim FC 1
Piaui 0
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Operario-PR -
Juazeirense -
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Capital -
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Fluminense -
Athletico-PR -
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Operario VG -
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Porto Velho -
Atletico GO -
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Primavera AC 2
Bragantino PA 1
Ponte Preta -
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SER Caxias do Sul -
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Guarany de Bage -
Flamengo RJ -
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Santa Catarina 2
IAPE 0
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Cuiaba -
Ceilandia -
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Jacuipense -
Mixto -
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Botafogo PB -
Novorizontino -
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Nacional-AM (Manaus) -
Castanhal -
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Guarani -
Nova Iguacu -
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Lagarto -
Manauara -
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Itabaiana -
Fortaleza -
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Maguary 1
Laguna RN 0
Santa Cruz -
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Sousa -
CRB -
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Porto-BA 2
Serra Branca 1
Imperatriz -
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Amazonas -
Figueirense -
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Azuriz -
Santos -
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Remo -
1/128-finals
Desportiva Ferroviaria 0
Sport Recife 1
Anapolis 3
Cianorte 1
Rio Branco ES 1
Athletic Club 2
Ypiranga FC 2
Ji-Parana 0
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Internacional -
Ivinhema 2
Volta Redonda 4
America RN 3
Gremio Atletico Sampaio 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) -
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America MG 2
Tirol 1
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Corinthians -
Bragantino -
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Mirassol -
Gremio -
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Velo Clube 0
Vila Nova FC 1
ASA 1
Operario MS 2
Confianca -
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Tombense 2
Oratorio 1
Botafogo RJ -
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Chapecoense-SC -
Boavista 2
Maringa FC 3
Retro 1
Uberlandia 2
Gama 2
Goias 3
Trem 0
Fluminense-PI 1
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Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
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Joinville 1
CSA 0
Sao Bernardo 2
Alagoinhas 0
Sao Luiz 0
Maranhao 1
Ceara 2
Primavera EC 1
Sao Paulo -
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Tuna Luso 4
Tocantinopolis 1
EC Juventude 5
Guapore 0
Madureira 1
ABC 0
Aguia De Maraba 2
Independencia Futebol Clube 0
Portuguesa 5
AE Altos 1
Avai 3
Porto Vitoria 0
Paysandu PA -
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Portuguesa RJ 1
Maracana 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vasco -
Capital FC 1
Manaus FC 2
Londrina 1
SC Penedense 0
Betim FC 0
Operario-PR 2
Juazeirense 1
Capital 2
TBD -
TBD -
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Fluminense -
Athletico-PR -
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Operario VG 1
Porto Velho 2
Atletico GO 1
Primavera AC 0
Ponte Preta -
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SER Caxias do Sul 0
Guarany de Bage 1
Flamengo RJ -
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Vitoria -
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Santa Catarina 2
Cuiaba 1
Ceilandia 1
Jacuipense 2
Mixto 2
Botafogo PB 1
Novorizontino 4
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 0
Castanhal 2
Guarani 1
Nova Iguacu 2
Lagarto 1
Manauara 3
Itabaiana 1
Fortaleza 4
Maguary 3
Santa Cruz 0
Sousa 1
CRB 6
Porto-BA 0
Imperatriz 0
Amazonas 3
Figueirense 1
Azuriz 0
Santos -
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Coritiba -
Bahia -
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Remo -
1/64-finals
Sport Recife 2
Anapolis 1
Athletic Club 2
Ypiranga FC 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Internacional -
Volta Redonda 1
America RN 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 1
America MG 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Corinthians -
Bragantino -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mirassol -
Gremio -
TBD -
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Vila Nova FC 2
Operario MS 1
Confianca 2
Tombense 0
Botafogo RJ -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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Chapecoense-SC -
Maringa FC 3
Uberlandia 2
Goias 3
Fluminense-PI 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
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Joinville 0
Sao Bernardo 1
Maranhao 0
Ceara 1
Sao Paulo -
TBD -
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Tuna Luso 1
EC Juventude 2
Madureira 0
Aguia De Maraba 1
Portuguesa 2
Avai 1
Paysandu PA 3
Portuguesa RJ 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vasco -
Manaus FC 0
Londrina 1
Operario-PR 2
Capital 0
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TBD -
TBD -
Fluminense -
Athletico-PR -
TBD -
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Porto Velho 0
Atletico GO 1
Ponte Preta 1
Guarany de Bage 0
Flamengo RJ -
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Vitoria -
Palmeiras -
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Santa Catarina 0
Jacuipense 1
Mixto 0
Novorizontino 3
Castanhal 0
Nova Iguacu 4
Manauara 0
Fortaleza 1
Sousa 0
CRB 2
Amazonas 0
Figueirense 1
Santos -
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Coritiba -
Bahia -
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Remo -
1/32-finals
Sport Recife 1
Athletic Club 3
TBD -
Internacional -
Volta Redonda 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 1
TBD -
Corinthians -
Bragantino -
TBD -
TBD -
Mirassol -
Gremio -
TBD -
Vila Nova FC 0
Confianca 1
Botafogo RJ -
TBD -
TBD -
Chapecoense-SC -
Maringa FC 0
Goias 1
TBD -
Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
TBD -
Sao Bernardo 0
Ceara 1
Sao Paulo -
TBD -
EC Juventude 3
Aguia De Maraba 0
Portuguesa 2
Paysandu PA 3
TBD -
Vasco -
Londrina 0
Operario-PR 1
TBD -
Fluminense -
Athletico-PR -
TBD -
Atletico GO 1
Ponte Preta 0
Flamengo RJ -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria -
Palmeiras -
TBD -
Jacuipense 1
Novorizontino 0
Nova Iguacu 0
Fortaleza 1
CRB 1
Figueirense 0
Santos -
TBD -
TBD -
Coritiba -
Bahia -
TBD -
TBD -
Remo -
1/16-finals
Athletic Club 3
Internacional 5
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 0
Corinthians 2
Bragantino 2
Mirassol 3
Gremio 5
Confianca 0
Botafogo RJ 1
Chapecoense-SC 2
Goias 2
Cruzeiro 3
Atletico-MG 4
Ceara 3
Sao Paulo 2
EC Juventude 3
Paysandu PA 2
Vasco 4
Operario-PR 1
Fluminense 2
Athletico-PR 1
Atletico GO 0
Flamengo RJ 2
Vitoria 3
Palmeiras 7
Jacuipense 1
Fortaleza 2
CRB 1
Santos 2
Coritiba 0
Bahia 2
Remo 5
1/8-finals
Internacional 3
Corinthians 2
Mirassol 1
Gremio 2
Chapecoense-SC 0
Cruzeiro 2
Atletico-MG 1
EC Juventude 0
Vasco 3
Fluminense 1
Athletico-PR 2
Vitoria 4
Palmeiras 5
Fortaleza 3
Santos 1
Remo 0
Quarter-finals
Internacional -
Gremio -
Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
Vasco -
Vitoria -
Palmeiras -
Santos -
Semi-finals
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Final
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