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Sao Bernardo W vs Taboao da Serra W

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Women 2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sao Bernardo W play Taboao da Serra W in the Paulista Women 2010. Taboao da Serra W are favorites here. Recently, Sao Bernardo W averaged 1.15 goals scored and 2.64 conceded. Taboao da Serra W averaged 1.32 goals scored and 4.26 conceded. In past meetings, Sao Bernardo W won 0, Taboao da Serra W won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 19, 2011 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 4.00 for Sao Bernardo W and 1.29 for Taboao da Serra W. This points to a Taboao da Serra W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Sao Bernardo W
15%
Draws
60%
Taboao da Serra W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Taboao da Serra W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Sao Bernardo W picked up more points recently compared to Taboao da Serra W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (4.00 vs 1.29 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Sao Bernardo W Clean Sheet 19%
Taboao da Serra W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 84%
Second Half Goal 88%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Bernardo W Taboao da Serra W
Matches Played 39 31
Wins 5 10
Draws 8 0
Losses 26 21
Goals Scored 1.15 1.32
Goals Conceded 2.64 4.26
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.20
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 14.20

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2011 Paulista Women
Sao Bernardo W vs Taboao da Serra W
0:2
Apr 23, 2011 Paulista Women
Taboao da Serra W vs Sao Bernardo W
4:1
Jun 26, 2010 Paulista Women
Sao Bernardo W vs Taboao da Serra W
1:2
May 1, 2010 Paulista Women
Taboao da Serra W vs Sao Bernardo W
6:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Bernardo W 26 / 100
Taboao da Serra W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Bernardo W Taboao da Serra W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Taboao da Serra W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Taboao da Serra W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8%
1.35
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sao Bernardo W attacking → ← attacking Taboao da Serra W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Bernardo W scored in 62% of their last 39 games.

Taboao da Serra W let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Sao Bernardo W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Taboao da Serra W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 30
0.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.20
2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 14.20

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rio Preto W16114183:937
2Ferroviaria W16113264:1036
3Francana W16102446:1332
4Botucatu W16102444:1232
5Sao Judas Tadeu W1694335:1831
6Marilia W1663750:3621
7Jaguariuna W1621137:967
8Sao Bento W16201414:796
9Paulista W1611149:794
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Santos W16160067:348
2Sao Jose W16140250:742
3Sao Caetano W16101540:2331
4Portuguesa W1691640:2028
5CA Juventus W1682619:2326
6Palmeiras W16421025:3514
7Nacional SP W16331012:4612
8Taboao da Serra W16301315:489
9Sao Bernardo W16011514:771