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Sao Caetano U20 vs Novorizontino U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Sao Caetano U20 Logo

Sao Caetano U20

0 - 3
FT
Novorizontino U20 Logo

Novorizontino U20

Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Coura H.
Own Goal
41' Event
Kawe
45' Event
Santos B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Novorizontino U20 in this Paulista U20 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Novorizontino U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Sao Caetano U20
20%
Draws
57%
Novorizontino U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Novorizontino U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Novorizontino U20 have won more games recently than Sao Caetano U20.
  • Novorizontino U20 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Paulista U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Novorizontino U20 here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Sao Caetano U20 Clean Sheet 14%
Novorizontino U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Caetano U20 Novorizontino U20
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 14
Draws 4 9
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.73 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 Paulista U20
Sao Caetano U20 vs Novorizontino U20
0:3
Jun 7, 2025 Paulista U20
Novorizontino U20 vs Sao Caetano U20
3:0
Aug 2, 2024 Paulista U20
Sao Caetano U20 vs Novorizontino U20
0:2
Jun 28, 2024 Paulista U20
Novorizontino U20 vs Sao Caetano U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Caetano U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Novorizontino U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kawe
1 Goals
Assists Leader Santos B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Caetano U20 11 / 100
Novorizontino U20 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Caetano U20 Novorizontino U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novorizontino U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Caetano U20 scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Novorizontino U20 conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Sao Caetano U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Caetano U20 VS Novorizontino U20
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Caetano U20

(Home)
12 Sept
Ibrachina U20
4 : 0
Sao Caetano U20
08 Sept
Sao Caetano U20
1 : 2
Osasco Sporting U20
21 Aug
Santo Andre U20
0 : 0
Sao Caetano U20
14 Aug
Sao Caetano U20
3 : 0
Aguai U20
11 Aug
Piracicaba U20
2 : 1
Sao Caetano U20
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Novorizontino U20

(Away)
27 Sept
Novorizontino U20
1 : 1
Portuguesa Santista U20
19 Sept
Portuguesa Santista U20
2 : 1
Novorizontino U20
12 Sept
Novorizontino U20
1 : 0
Aguai U20
04 Sept
Paulinense U20
1 : 4
Novorizontino U20
22 Aug
Novorizontino U20
2 : 1
Osasco Sporting U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 13 10 2 1 32:5 32
2 Corinthians U20 13 10 2 1 29:3 32
3 CA Juventus U20 13 9 1 3 35:16 28
4 Ferroviaria U20 13 7 4 2 21:9 25
5 Portuguesa U20 13 7 4 2 21:13 25
6 Sertaozinho U20 13 5 4 4 13:12 19
7 Portuguesa Santista U20 13 5 2 6 16:19 17
8 Ponte Preta U20 13 4 3 6 15:29 15
9 Uniao Suzano U20 13 4 2 7 10:21 14
10 Jabaquara U20 13 4 1 8 9:17 13
11 Itapirense U20 13 3 1 9 14:29 10
12 America SP U20 13 3 0 10 8:31 9
13 Sao Bento U20 13 2 3 8 14:24 9
14 Mirassol U20 13 1 5 7 12:21 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ibrachina U20 14 11 1 2 34:8 34
2 Sao Paulo U20 14 10 3 1 23:4 33
3 Novorizontino U20 14 7 4 3 23:13 25
4 Santo Andre U20 14 6 4 4 22:16 22
5 Desportivo U20 14 6 4 4 19:13 22
6 Osasco Sporting U20 14 5 6 3 19:17 21
7 Botafogo SP U20 14 4 7 3 24:17 19
8 Piracicaba U20 14 3 10 1 12:9 19
9 EC Sao Bernardo U20 14 3 7 4 18:18 16
10 Paulinense U20 14 4 3 7 13:18 15
11 CA Bandeirante U20 14 3 3 8 12:26 12
12 Uniao Sao Joao U20 14 2 6 6 11:15 12
13 Sao Caetano U20 14 3 2 9 14:25 11
14 Velo Clube U20 14 1 8 5 6:24 11
15 Aguai U20 14 2 2 10 10:37 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bragantino U20 14 13 0 1 61:9 39
2 Palmeiras U20 14 11 2 1 29:7 35
3 Guarani U20 14 11 1 2 28:11 34
4 Sfera U20 14 7 1 6 28:16 22
5 Osasco Audax U20 14 6 4 4 20:13 22
6 Agua Santa U20 14 6 3 5 19:23 21
7 Capivariano U20 14 5 6 3 20:14 21
8 Flamengo SP U20 14 5 2 7 11:20 17
9 XV de Jau U20 14 5 2 7 13:26 17
10 Gremio Prudente U20 14 4 4 6 22:25 16
11 Ituano U20 14 3 5 6 17:26 14
12 Referencia U20 14 4 1 9 11:21 13
13 Maua FC U20 14 2 3 9 7:28 9
14 Tanabi U20 14 2 3 9 11:37 9
15 Porto Football U20 14 2 1 11 6:27 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)