Sport Picks
Sao Caetano vs EC Sao Bernardo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Copa Paulista 
Match Events
18'
18'
Kayky Alves
21'
21'
Jotta
59'
59'
Joao Guilherme
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 1-4.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
15%
73%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: EC Sao Bernardo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Sao Caetano haven't matched EC Sao Bernardo's recent run of results.
- Model gives EC Sao Bernardo a 73% chance of winning this.
- EC Sao Bernardo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor EC Sao Bernardo, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Sao Caetano Clean Sheet 16%
EC Sao Bernardo Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sao Caetano | EC Sao Bernardo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2026 Copa Paulista
EC Sao Bernardo vs Sao Caetano
2:0
Aug 1, 2026 Copa Paulista
Sao Caetano vs EC Sao Bernardo
1:4
Jul 20, 2024 Copa Paulista
Sao Caetano vs EC Sao Bernardo
1:1
Jun 15, 2024 Copa Paulista
EC Sao Bernardo vs Sao Caetano
1:2
Feb 28, 2024 Paulista A3
EC Sao Bernardo vs Sao Caetano
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sao Caetano Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
EC Sao Bernardo Compare
Top Goalscorer Kayky Alves
1 Goals Assists Leader Jotta
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sao Caetano 10 / 100
EC Sao Bernardo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sao Caetano EC Sao Bernardo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick EC Sao Bernardo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
EC Sao Bernardo let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Difficult form: EC Sao Bernardo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Sao Caetano scored in 50% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Sao Caetano VS EC Sao Bernardo
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sao Caetano
(Home) 05 Sept
Primavera EC
7 : 0 Sao Caetano
29 Aug
Sao Caetano
0 : 5 Primavera EC
22 Aug
Sao Jose EC
0 : 0 Sao Caetano
17 Aug
Sao Caetano
0 : 1 Santo Andre
09 Aug
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 0 Sao Caetano
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29 Aug
Sao Caetano
0 : 5 Primavera EC
17 Aug
Sao Caetano
0 : 1 Santo Andre
01 Aug
Sao Caetano
1 : 4 EC Sao Bernardo
20 Jul
Sao Caetano
1 : 2 Sao Jose EC
02 May
Sao Caetano
2 : 2 Penapolense
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EC Sao Bernardo
(Away) 05 Sept
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 1 Comercial
31 Aug
Comercial
2 : 0 EC Sao Bernardo
22 Aug
Santo Andre
1 : 0 EC Sao Bernardo
15 Aug
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 3 Sao Jose EC
09 Aug
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 0 Sao Caetano
Page 1 of 6
31 Aug
Comercial
2 : 0 EC Sao Bernardo
22 Aug
Santo Andre
1 : 0 EC Sao Bernardo
01 Aug
Sao Caetano
1 : 4 EC Sao Bernardo
25 Jul
Sao Jose EC
2 : 1 EC Sao Bernardo
04 Apr
Marilia
3 : 0 EC Sao Bernardo
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Linense | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:3 | 14 |
| 2 | Bandeirante | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Gremio Prudente | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | 7 |
| 4 | Marilia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Noroeste | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 2 | Uniao Sao Joao | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 6:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Comercial | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 4 | Piracicaba | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:6 | 6 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventus-SP | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 10 |
| 2 | Primavera EC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Paulista | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 4 | Osasco Sporting | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:11 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Jose EC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 13 |
| 2 | EC Sao Bernardo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12:8 | 9 |
| 3 | Sao Caetano | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:9 | 2 |
| 4 | Santo Andre | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
