Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sao Caetano vs Primavera EC

Brazil Brazil

Copa Paulista Estadio Anacleto Campanella, São Caetano do Sul
Sao Caetano Logo

Sao Caetano

0 - 5
FT
Primavera EC Logo

Primavera EC

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Kauan Cunha
41' Event
Ze Eduardo
45' Event
Reginaldo
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 7-0. The second leg ended 0-5.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Sao Caetano
20%
Draws
70%
Primavera EC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Primavera EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Primavera EC come out ahead of Sao Caetano on wins alone.
  • Primavera EC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Primavera EC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Primavera EC, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Primavera EC have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Sao Caetano Clean Sheet 10%
Primavera EC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Caetano Primavera EC
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 11 14
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Copa Paulista
Primavera EC vs Sao Caetano
7:0
Aug 29, 2026 Copa Paulista
Sao Caetano vs Primavera EC
0:5
Jan 14, 2023 Paulista A2
Sao Caetano vs Primavera EC
0:1
Feb 2, 2022 Paulista A2
Primavera EC vs Sao Caetano
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Caetano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Primavera EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Kauan Cunha
3 Goals
Assists Leader Ze Eduardo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Caetano 10 / 100
Primavera EC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Caetano Primavera EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Primavera EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Primavera EC let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Sao Caetano scored in 52% of their last 31 games.

Sao Caetano has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sao Caetano VS Primavera EC
0.75 Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Caetano

(Home)
05 Sept
Primavera EC
7 : 0
Sao Caetano
29 Aug
Sao Caetano
0 : 5
Primavera EC
22 Aug
Sao Jose EC
0 : 0
Sao Caetano
17 Aug
Sao Caetano
0 : 1
Santo Andre
09 Aug
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 0
Sao Caetano
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Primavera EC

(Away)
19 Sept
Noroeste
1 : 0
Primavera EC
12 Sept
Primavera EC
2 : 2
Noroeste
05 Sept
Primavera EC
7 : 0
Sao Caetano
29 Aug
Sao Caetano
0 : 5
Primavera EC
22 Aug
Primavera EC
1 : 2
Paulista
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Noroeste -
TBD -
Primavera EC 12
Sao Caetano 0
Juventus-SP -
TBD -
Bandeirante 3
Uniao Sao Joao 4
Sao Jose EC -
TBD -
EC Sao Bernardo 2
Comercial 3
Linense -
TBD -
Paulista 2
Gremio Prudente 7
Quarter-finals
Noroeste 3
Primavera EC 2
Juventus-SP 0
Uniao Sao Joao 1
Sao Jose EC 3
Comercial 0
Linense 2
Gremio Prudente 2
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -