Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sao Caetano vs Santo Andre

Brazil Brazil

Copa Paulista
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Sao Caetano
30%
Draws
54%
Santo Andre
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santo Andre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sao Caetano lately — more wins on the board than Santo Andre.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Sao Caetano have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Santo Andre, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Sao Caetano Clean Sheet 29%
Santo Andre Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Caetano Santo Andre
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.17 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 Copa Paulista
Sao Caetano vs Santo Andre
0:1
Jul 26, 2026 Copa Paulista
Santo Andre vs Sao Caetano
0:0
Aug 9, 2025 Copa Paulista
Sao Caetano vs Santo Andre
2:0
Jul 5, 2025 Copa Paulista
Santo Andre vs Sao Caetano
0:2
Aug 25, 2023 Copa Paulista
Sao Caetano vs Santo Andre
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Caetano 38 / 100
Santo Andre 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Caetano Santo Andre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santo Andre Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Caetano's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Santo Andre's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Sao Caetano has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sao Caetano VS Santo Andre
1.5 Goals Scored 0.33
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.83
75% Over 1.5 33%
38% Over 2.5 17%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Caetano

(Home)
09 Aug
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 0
Sao Caetano
01 Aug
Sao Caetano
1 : 4
EC Sao Bernardo
26 Jul
Santo Andre
0 : 0
Sao Caetano
20 Jul
Sao Caetano
1 : 2
Sao Jose EC
02 May
Sao Caetano
2 : 2
Penapolense
Page 1 of 6

Santo Andre

(Away)
08 Aug
Sao Jose EC
2 : 0
Santo Andre
02 Aug
Santo Andre
1 : 0
Sao Jose EC
26 Jul
Santo Andre
0 : 0
Sao Caetano
19 Jul
EC Sao Bernardo
3 : 1
Santo Andre
07 Mar
Santo Andre
4 : 2
Sao Bento
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linense 5 3 2 0 9:3 11
2 Bandeirante 5 2 2 1 5:3 8
3 Marilia 5 1 1 3 4:8 4
4 Gremio Prudente 5 1 1 3 3:7 4
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comercial 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
2 Uniao Sao Joao 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
3 Noroeste 4 1 2 1 5:6 5
4 Piracicaba 4 0 2 2 2:5 2
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Primavera EC 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
2 Juventus-SP 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
3 Paulista 5 2 1 2 4:6 7
4 Osasco Sporting 5 1 1 3 4:6 4
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Jose EC 5 4 0 1 9:5 12
2 EC Sao Bernardo 5 3 0 2 12:7 9
3 Santo Andre 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
4 Sao Caetano 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)