Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Paulista A4 2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Sao-Carlense have won more games recently than Sao Carlos.
- 30% — that's where the model lands on Sao Carlos taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Sao-Carlense Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Carlos Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sao-Carlense | Sao Carlos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 12 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 10, 2023 Paulista A4
Sao-Carlense vs Sao Carlos
2:0
May 6, 2023 Paulista A4
Sao Carlos vs Sao-Carlense
0:1
Jun 5, 2022 Paulista A4
Sao-Carlense vs Sao Carlos
0:0
May 1, 2022 Paulista A4
Sao Carlos vs Sao-Carlense
1:0
Sep 19, 2021 Paulista A4
Sao-Carlense vs Sao Carlos
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sao-Carlense 28 / 100
Sao Carlos 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sao-Carlense Sao Carlos
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sao Carlos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Sao-Carlense scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Sao Carlos let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Sao-Carlense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Sao-Carlense VS Sao Carlos
1.25 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sao-Carlense
(Home) 01 May
Inter de Bebedouro
1 : 1 Sao-Carlense
26 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 3 Inter de Bebedouro
19 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 0 Barretos EC
10 Apr
Barretos EC
1 : 1 Sao-Carlense
04 Apr
Lemense
1 : 1 Sao-Carlense
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 3 Inter de Bebedouro
19 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 0 Barretos EC
28 Mar
Sao-Carlense
4 : 1 Sao Caetano
21 Mar
Sao-Carlense
0 : 0 Penapolense
07 Mar
Sao-Carlense
1 : 0 Vocem
Page 1 of 3
Sao Carlos
(Away) 05 Jul
Paulinense
2 : 0 Sao Carlos
27 Jun
Sao Carlos
0 : 1 Paulinense
20 Jun
Santacruzense
1 : 1 Sao Carlos
13 Jun
Sao Carlos
2 : 0 Independente SP
07 Jun
Matonense
1 : 1 Sao Carlos
Page 1 of 6
05 Jul
Paulinense
2 : 0 Sao Carlos
20 Jun
Santacruzense
1 : 1 Sao Carlos
07 Jun
Matonense
1 : 1 Sao Carlos
23 May
Mogi Mirim
3 : 1 Sao Carlos
10 May
Independente SP
2 : 1 Sao Carlos
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matonense | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 23 |
| 2 | Taquaritinga | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:8 | 17 |
| 3 | Catanduva FC | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 4 | Inter de Bebedouro | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:9 | 15 |
| 5 | Fernandopolis | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13:20 | 7 |
| 6 | America SP | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8:23 | 5 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | XV de Jau | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 23 |
| 2 | Gremio Prudente | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:10 | 17 |
| 3 | Vocem | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Assisense | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9:11 | 13 |
| 5 | Santacruzense | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:8 | 9 |
| 6 | Osvaldo Cruz | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:17 | 5 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rio Branco SP | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 2 | Independente SP | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12:9 | 18 |
| 3 | Sao-Carlense | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 12:6 | 17 |
| 4 | Sao Carlos | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | 11 |
| 5 | Itapirense | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5:12 | 6 |
| 6 | Mogi Mirim | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3:11 | 6 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SP | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 18:5 | 26 |
| 2 | Paulista | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:7 | 18 |
| 3 | Colorado Caieiras | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12:13 | 12 |
| 4 | Mauaense | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14:22 | 11 |
| 5 | Guarulhos | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14:21 | 9 |
| 6 | Barcelona SP | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13:21 | 6 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uniao Suzano | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 24:3 | 26 |
| 2 | Maua FC | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 23:9 | 21 |
| 3 | Uniao Mogi | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15:10 | 13 |
| 4 | ECUS SP | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12:22 | 13 |
| 5 | Manthiqueira | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:12 | 12 |
| 6 | Atletico Mogi | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6:37 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
