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Sao-Carlense vs Uniao Sao Joao

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sao-Carlense in this Paulista A4 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sao-Carlense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sao-Carlense
6%
Draws
4%
Uniao Sao Joao
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sao-Carlense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Uniao Sao Joao have won more games recently than Sao-Carlense.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Sao-Carlense taking it.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Sao-Carlense Clean Sheet 20%
Uniao Sao Joao Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao-Carlense Uniao Sao Joao
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 12
Draws 12 7
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2024 Copa Paulista
Sao-Carlense vs Uniao Sao Joao
0:2
Jun 29, 2024 Copa Paulista
Uniao Sao Joao vs Sao-Carlense
1:1
Sep 16, 2023 Paulista A4
Sao-Carlense vs Uniao Sao Joao
2:1
Sep 9, 2023 Paulista A4
Uniao Sao Joao vs Sao-Carlense
3:1
Jun 18, 2023 Paulista A4
Uniao Sao Joao vs Sao-Carlense
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao-Carlense 85 / 100
Uniao Sao Joao 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao-Carlense Uniao Sao Joao

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sao-Carlense scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Uniao Sao Joao has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sao-Carlense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sao-Carlense VS Uniao Sao Joao
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Francana1
Catanduva FC5
Rio Branco SP0
Taquaritinga1
Nacional SP1
Uniao Sao Joao3
Uniao Barbarense0
Sao-Carlense4
Semi-finals
Catanduva FC3
Taquaritinga2
Uniao Sao Joao4
Sao-Carlense3
Final
Catanduva FC0
Uniao Sao Joao2