Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sao-Carlense vs Vocem

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Araujo J.

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 game between Sao-Carlense and Vocem finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao-Carlense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Sao-Carlense
30%
Draws
42%
Vocem
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vocem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Sao-Carlense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sao-Carlense a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sao-Carlense have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Sao-Carlense Clean Sheet 68%
Vocem Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao-Carlense Vocem
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 12 12
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Paulista A4
Sao-Carlense vs Vocem
1:0
Feb 15, 2025 Paulista A4
Vocem vs Sao-Carlense
0:2
Mar 30, 2024 Paulista A4
Sao-Carlense vs Vocem
2:0
Aug 13, 2023 Paulista A4
Vocem vs Sao-Carlense
2:1
Aug 5, 2023 Paulista A4
Sao-Carlense vs Vocem
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao-Carlense Compare

Top Goalscorer Araujo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Vocem Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao-Carlense 51 / 100
Vocem 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao-Carlense Vocem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao-Carlense scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Vocem's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Sao-Carlense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao-Carlense VS Vocem
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao-Carlense

(Home)
01 May
Inter de Bebedouro
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
26 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 3
Inter de Bebedouro
19 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 0
Barretos EC
10 Apr
Barretos EC
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
04 Apr
Lemense
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
Page 1 of 6

Vocem

(Away)
04 Apr
Sao Caetano
0 : 2
Vocem
28 Mar
Vocem
0 : 1
Jacarei FC
25 Mar
AEA Aracatuba
0 : 4
Vocem
21 Mar
Vocem
2 : 1
Lemense
18 Mar
Comercial
3 : 1
Vocem
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter de Bebedouro 15 10 3 2 21:6 33
2 Sao Caetano 15 9 2 4 23:14 29
3 Penapolense 15 8 5 2 22:10 29
4 Sao-Carlense 15 7 5 3 20:13 26
5 Barretos EC 15 7 5 3 12:10 26
6 Taquaritinga 15 7 3 5 20:13 24
7 Jacarei FC 15 6 5 4 11:9 23
8 Lemense 15 6 4 5 14:12 22
9 ECUS SP 15 5 7 3 11:6 22
10 Comercial 15 6 2 7 17:16 20
11 Tanabi 15 4 6 5 12:10 18
12 Jabaquara 15 4 4 7 14:17 16
13 Vocem 15 3 6 6 12:13 15
14 Colorado Caieiras 15 1 7 7 6:20 10
15 Nacional SP 15 2 2 11 7:22 8
16 AEA Aracatuba 15 1 2 12 6:37 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista B (Main)