Sport Picks
Match Events
43'
43'
Dudu
45'
45'
Dudu
84'
84'
Domingos Calegari B.
AI Match Summary
The Paulista B game between Sao Carlos and Independente SP finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Carlos.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Independente SP
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Independente SP carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Independente SP a 90% chance of winning this.
- Regular Paulista B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Sao Carlos Clean Sheet 10%
Independente SP Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sao Carlos | Independente SP |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 33 |
| Wins | 12 | 20 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 4.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 4.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 13, 2026 Paulista B
Sao Carlos vs Independente SP
2:0
May 10, 2026 Paulista B
Independente SP vs Sao Carlos
2:1
Jun 21, 2025 Paulista B
Independente SP vs Sao Carlos
5:1
May 16, 2025 Paulista B
Sao Carlos vs Independente SP
3:0
Jun 24, 2023 Paulista A4
Independente SP vs Sao Carlos
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sao Carlos Compare
Top Goalscorer Dudu
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Independente SP Compare
Avg xG / game 3.86
Avg xA / game 2.36
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sao Carlos 10 / 100
Independente SP 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sao Carlos Independente SP
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick IND Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Sao Carlos scored in 65% of their last 34 games.
Independente SP let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.
Sao Carlos has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sao Carlos VS Independente SP
1.88 Goals Scored 4.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Sao Carlos
(Home) 05 Jul
Paulinense
2 : 0 Sao Carlos
27 Jun
Sao Carlos
0 : 1 Paulinense
20 Jun
Santacruzense
1 : 1 Sao Carlos
13 Jun
Sao Carlos
2 : 0 Independente SP
07 Jun
Matonense
1 : 1 Sao Carlos
Page 1 of 7
27 Jun
Sao Carlos
0 : 1 Paulinense
13 Jun
Sao Carlos
2 : 0 Independente SP
30 May
Sao Carlos
8 : 0 Catanduvense
16 May
Sao Carlos
1 : 1 Santacruzense
02 May
Sao Carlos
0 : 2 Matonense
Page 1 of 4
Independente SP
(Away) 19 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 1 Paulinense
12 Jul
Paulinense
0 : 1 Independente SP
05 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 0 Tupa
28 Jun
Tupa
0 : 2 Independente SP
20 Jun
Independente SP
17 : 0 Catanduvense
Page 1 of 7
12 Jul
Paulinense
0 : 1 Independente SP
28 Jun
Tupa
0 : 2 Independente SP
13 Jun
Sao Carlos
2 : 0 Independente SP
24 May
Matonense
0 : 2 Independente SP
17 May
Catanduvense
0 : 4 Independente SP
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jose Bonifacio EC | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 17:6 | 22 |
| 2 | America SP | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Assisense | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 4 | Tupa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 5 | Riopretano | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 6 | Santa Fe SP | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10:20 | 6 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independente SP | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 37:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Matonense | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Sao Carlos | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 4 | Santacruzense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 14 |
| 5 | Mogi Mirim | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 6 | Catanduvense | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4:66 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SP | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 23 |
| 2 | Paulinense | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9:16 | 15 |
| 3 | Audax-SP | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:9 | 13 |
| 4 | Paulinia FU | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 5 | Votoraty SP | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:19 | 7 |
| 6 | Guarulhos | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Itaqua | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:6 | 25 |
| 2 | Maua FC | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 3 | Uniao Mogi | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 4 | Manthiqueira | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 5 | Mauaense | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 6 | Barcelona SP | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5:26 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)