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Sao Carlos vs Paulinense

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Pedro J.

AI Match Summary

Paulinense in this Paulista B matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paulinense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Sao Carlos
11%
Draws
9%
Paulinense
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Sao Carlos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sao Carlos lately — more wins on the board than Paulinense.
  • Sao Carlos are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Sao Carlos Clean Sheet 68%
Paulinense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Carlos Paulinense
Matches Played 30 13
Wins 9 7
Draws 7 0
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Paulista B
Paulinense vs Sao Carlos
2:0
Jun 27, 2026 Paulista B
Sao Carlos vs Paulinense
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Carlos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Paulinense Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Carlos 86 / 100
Paulinense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Carlos Paulinense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sao Carlos scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Paulinense has conceded goals in 69% of their last 13 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sao Carlos stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Carlos VS Paulinense
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Itaqua6
Paulinia FU1
Maua FC3
Uniao Mogi5
Independente SP4
Tupa0
Paulinense3
Sao Carlos0
Jose Bonifacio EC4
Manthiqueira1
America SP3
Santacruzense0
Flamengo SP2
Audax-SP1
Matonense1
Assisense0
Quarter-finals
Itaqua4
Uniao Mogi1
Independente SP1
Paulinense0
Jose Bonifacio EC0
America SP0
Flamengo SP1
Matonense0
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-