Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sao Cristovao vs Bonsucesso

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Oliveira Xavier Armelau Y.
45' Event
Keven
74'
Caua

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B1 2025 game between Sao Cristovao and Bonsucesso finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bonsucesso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Sao Cristovao
35%
Draws
40%
Bonsucesso
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bonsucesso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Bonsucesso carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Sao Cristovao taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Sao Cristovao Clean Sheet 68%
Bonsucesso Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Cristovao Bonsucesso
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.75 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.89 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2025 Carioca B1
Sao Cristovao vs Bonsucesso
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Cristovao Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Bonsucesso Compare

Top Goalscorer Oliveira Xavier Armelau Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Keven
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Cristovao 51 / 100
Bonsucesso 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Cristovao Bonsucesso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bonsucesso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Sao Cristovao stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Sao Cristovao scored in 50% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Cristovao VS Bonsucesso
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Cristovao

(Home)
03 Oct
Niteroiense
1 : 0
Sao Cristovao
25 Sept
AA Carapebus
0 : 1
Sao Cristovao
19 Sept
Sao Cristovao
0 : 1
Duque de Caxias
12 Sept
Nova Cidade
2 : 2
Sao Cristovao
05 Sept
Sao Cristovao
0 : 0
Goncalense
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Bonsucesso

(Away)
22 Jul
Madureira
2 : 1
Bonsucesso
15 Jul
Bonsucesso
2 : 2
Madureira
04 Jul
Olaria
0 : 1
Bonsucesso
01 Jul
Bonsucesso
3 : 2
America RJ
23 Jun
Cabofriense
0 : 0
Bonsucesso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bonsucesso 11 6 4 1 14:7 22
2 Sao Cristovao 11 5 4 2 14:8 19
3 Serrano FC 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
4 Duque de Caxias 11 5 3 3 10:9 18
5 Niteroiense 11 4 4 3 16:14 16
6 Goncalense 11 5 1 5 11:9 16
7 Nova Cidade 11 4 4 3 9:9 16
8 Campo Grande 11 3 6 2 9:8 15
9 Artsul 11 3 4 4 11:10 13
10 AA Carapebus 11 3 3 5 6:13 12
11 Paduano EC 11 3 1 7 12:18 10
12 Friburguense 11 1 1 9 3:13 4
Promotion - Carioca B1 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2025 (Main)