Sport Picks

Brazil

Baiano Women

Bahia W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sao Francisco BA W play Bahia W in the Baiano Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sao Francisco BA W averaged 3.14 goals scored and 2.71 conceded. Bahia W averaged 3.87 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. In past meetings, Sao Francisco BA W won 0, Bahia W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 30, 2025 ended 0:8. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Sao Francisco BA W and 2.88 for Bahia W. This points to a Bahia W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%

Sao Francisco BA W

15%

Draws

50%

Bahia W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bahia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Sao Francisco BA W picked up more points recently compared to Bahia W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 2.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%

Over 1.5 Goals 84%

Over 2.5 Goals 66%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%

Sao Francisco BA W Clean Sheet 10%

Bahia W Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 76%

Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sao Francisco BA W	Bahia W
Matches Played	7	30
Wins	4	21
Draws	0	3
Losses	3	6
Goals Scored	3.14	3.87
Goals Conceded	2.71	0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2025 Baiano Women

Sao Francisco BA W vs Bahia W

Possession: 46% - 47% Cards: 1 - 2

0:8

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Francisco BA W 34 / 100

Bahia W 48 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sao Francisco BA W Bahia W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bahia W or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +29.5%

3.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.2%

1.67

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sao Francisco BA W attacking → ← attacking Bahia W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Francisco BA W scored in 71% of their last 7 games.

Bahia W let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Sao Francisco BA W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bahia W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

12 Points in last 5 66

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 3.75

2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vitoria W	6	6	0	0	45:1	18
2	Alagoinhas W	6	4	1	1	33:8	13
3	Lusaca W	6	3	1	2	12:8	10
4	Juazeirense W	6	2	2	2	15:5	8
5	Camacariense W	6	2	1	3	9:9	7
6	Barcelona FC W	6	1	1	4	4:31	4
7	Porto-BA W	6	0	0	6	1:57	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bahia W	6	6	0	0	59:0	18
2	Sao Francisco BA W	6	4	0	2	22:17	12
3	Litoral Norte W	6	3	1	2	13:18	10
4	CFFB W	6	3	0	3	16:9	9
5	Jacuipense W	6	2	1	3	13:13	7
6	Jequie W	6	1	2	3	8:17	5
7	Botafogo BA W	6	0	0	6	1:58	0